E-16E1 (Synapse) RIRs 1-90
6 passages
2027-2031 Demand Side Management Resource Plan Round 1 Model Input Assumptions and Results
AI summary The document outlines the 2027-2031 Demand Side Management Resource Plan, focusing on model input assumptions and results. It reflects Nova Scotia's regulatory process for managing energy demand through efficiency initiatives and resource planning.
1. BACKGROUND Beginning in late 2023, EfficiencyOne (E1) initiated the development process for the 2026-2030 DSM Plan with the Demand Side Management Advisory Group (DSMAG). Following two rounds of modelling, E1 pivoted to focus on the dev...
AI summary EfficiencyOne (E1) developed the 2026-2030 DSM Plan and later pivoted to the 2027-2031 DSM Plan following legislative changes to the Public Utilities Act in 2025. Feedback from the DSMAG on the 2026-2030 plan influenced the 2027-2031 modelling process, with key themes addressed in the report.
Investment Level Some DSMAG members commented that the overall DSM investment modelled in Round 2 2026-2030 was too high. Based on this feedback, E1 reviewed and updated the DSM investment levels modelled for Round 1 of the 2027-2031 DSM P...
AI summary DSMAG members criticized the high DSM investment levels in Round 2 (2026-2030), prompting E1 to adjust Round 1 investment levels for the 2027-2031 DSM Plan. The revised model shows reduced investment compared to Round 2, as illustrated in Figure 1.
Demand Response Some DSMAG members commented that the Demand Response investment modelled in Round 2 2026- 2030 was too high. The Demand Response inputs and assumptions were updated for 2027-2031 DSM Plan modelling to reflect 2024-2025 Dem...
AI summary DSMAG members criticized the high Demand Response investment in Round 2 (2026-2030). E1 updated 2027-2031 DSM Plan modelling with 2024-2025 results, identifying cost-reduction opportunities. Investment levels in both base and high DR scenarios decreased compared to Round 2, as shown in Figure 2.
Investment Level As noted above, some DSMAG members raised concerns about the overall DSM investment level modelled in Round 2 2026-2030, including the investment in new resources. Inputs and assumptions for Strategic Electrification and S...
AI summary DSMAG members expressed concerns about the investment levels in Round 2's 2026-2030 DSM plan, leading to adjusted assumptions in Round 1 for 2027-2031. Strategic Electrification and Solar-PV investments were reduced compared to previous models, as illustrated in Figure 3.
Measure Characterization During 2027-2031 DSM Plan development, measure characterizations were updated to reflect the most current available information, primarily drawing on the 2023 and 2024 DSM evaluation results, internal program data,...
AI summary The 2027-2031 DSM Plan development updated measure characterizations using 2023-2024 evaluations, internal data, and expert insights. Ongoing reviews with Guidehouse support the process, and technical tables will be shared with DSMAG post-Round 2 modelling. Key assumptions are detailed in section 2.4.
E-23Evidence - Synapse
11 passages
IN THE MATTER OF THE PUBLIC UTILITIES ACT, RSNS 1989, c 380, as amended - and - IN THE MATTER OF An Application by EfficiencyOne for Approval of the 2027– 2031 Demand-Side Management (DSM) Purchase Agreement between EfficiencyOne and Nova...
AI summary This document outlines an application by EfficiencyOne for approval of a 2027–2031 Demand-Side Management (DSM) Purchase Agreement with Nova Scotia Power Inc., along with the establishment of a final agreement and approval of a DSM Resource Plan. The evidence is presented by Alice Napoleon on behalf of the Nova Scotia Energy Board.
Sources: - 2023 Actuals: 2023 DSM Annual Progress Report, Table 1: 2023 Results to 2023 Plan as Approved, 2023 Mid-Course Adjustments, and 2023 Year-End Forecast, pg. 6. - 2024 Actuals: 2024 DSM Annual Progress Report, Table 1: 2024 Result...
AI summary The text references annual progress reports and planned DSM activities from 2023 to 2026, including actuals, mid-course adjustments, and forecasts. It also mentions a proposed DSM plan for 2027-2031. These documents provide data on program savings and investments related to demand-side management.
Q. Please summarize the lifetime energy savings and solar-PV generation proposed by E1 in its 2027-2031 DSM Plan. A. As shown in [Figure 2](#page-10-0) below, E1 estimates that its Preferred Plan would provide steep declines in lifetime en...
AI summary E1's 2027-2031 DSM Plan proposes a significant decline in lifetime energy savings, with savings projected to fall to 52% of 2027 levels by 2031. Solar-PV generation is expected to contribute minimally to these savings.
Figure 2. Proposed 2027-2031 DSM Plan Lifetime Energy Savings and Generation, by Year and Resource Sources: - 2023 Actuals: 2023 DSM Annual Progress Report, Table 1: 2023 Results to 2023 Plan as Approved, 2023 Mid-Course Adjustments, and 2...
AI summary Figure 2 presents the proposed 2027-2031 DSM Plan lifetime energy savings and generation, by year and resource. It references past DSM Annual Progress Reports and the 2026 DSM Extension for Demand-Side Management Activities, as well as the E1 2027-2031 DSM Plan.
Q. Please summarize the peak demand savings and available capacity proposed by E1 in its 2027-2031 DSM Plan. A. E1's expectations for peak demand savings from energy efficiency and available capacity from the demand response in its Preferr...
AI summary E1's 2027-2031 DSM Plan projects total peak demand savings of 43.6 MW by 2031, with energy efficiency contributions declining and demand response contributions growing, sourced entirely from existing and new BNI participants, with no new residential demand response participants planned.
Figure 3. Proposed 2027-2031 DSM Plan Peak Demand Savings and Available DR Capacity, by Year and Resource and Sector
AI summary Figure 3 presents a visual representation of the proposed 2027-2031 DSM Plan, detailing peak demand savings and available demand response (DR) capacity by year, resource, and sector.
Sources: - 2023 Actuals: 2023 DSM Annual Progress Report, Table 1: 2023 Results to 2023 Plan as Approved, 2023 Mid-Course Adjustments, and 2023 Year-End Forecast, pg. 6. - 2024 Actuals: 2024 DSM Annual Progress Report, Table 1: 2024 Result...
AI summary The text references annual progress reports and planned DSM activities from 2023 to 2026, including actuals, mid-course adjustments, and forecasts. It also mentions a proposed DSM plan for 2027-2031. These documents provide data on program savings and investments related to demand-side management.
Q. Please summarize the budgets proposed by E1 in the 2027-2031 DSM Plan. A. E1 proposes an annual budget of $63.75 million for 2027 to 2031, which is the same as the budget approved by NSEB in the 2026 Extension. Over the course of the fi...
AI summary E1 proposes a $63.75 million annual budget for the 2027-2031 DSM Plan, aligning with the 2026 Extension budget. Approximately 90% will be allocated to energy efficiency and enabling strategies, 9% to demand response, and 1% to solar PV.
Figure 4. Proposed 2027-2031 DSM Plan Budget, by Year and Resource
AI summary The document presents Figure 4, which outlines the proposed 2027-2031 DSM Plan Budget, categorized by year and resource. This visual representation is likely used to illustrate the financial allocation for demand-side management initiatives over the next five years.
Q. How did E1 assess cost-effectiveness in the 2027-2031 DSM Plan? A. E1 assessed cost-effectiveness at the portfolio level using the PAC test as the primary cost-effectiveness test, with NS Power's weighted average cost of capital of 6.65...
AI summary E1 assessed cost-effectiveness in the 2027-2031 DSM Plan using the PAC test at the portfolio level and the modified PAC test at the resource level for strategic electrification, with a discount rate of 6.65 percent.
Q. Is the BCR for the portfolio close to 1? A. No. Per the 2027-2031 Plan, E1 projects the proposed portfolio to have a Program Administrator Cost (PAC) test result of 2.4. This suggests that there is ample room for including some electrif...
AI summary The BCR (Benefit-Cost Ratio) for the portfolio is not close to 1. According to the 2027-2031 Plan, E1 projects a Program Administrator Cost (PAC) test result of 2.4, indicating the portfolio has significant room for including electrification resources.
E-24Evidence - SNS
4 passages
EfficiencyOne 2027–2031 Demand Side Management Plan Matter M12780
AI summary The document introduces the EfficiencyOne 2027–2031 Demand Side Management Plan, identified as Matter M12780, which outlines strategies for managing energy demand over the next four years.
5.5 Recommended Direction for Strategic Electrification Solar Nova Scotia recommends that the Board require EfficiencyOne to develop a strategic electrification pathway within the 2027–2031 DSM Plan, rather than deferring strategic electri...
AI summary Solar Nova Scotia recommends that the Board require EfficiencyOne to develop a strategic electrification pathway within the 2027–2031 DSM Plan, including hourly modelling, EV incentives, hybrid heat pump programs, and integration with demand response. The recommendation emphasizes affordability and decarbonization while avoiding uneconomic measures.
6. Conclusion The 2027–2031 DSM Plan should be approved only with a clearer path to program redesign. The evidence shows that business-sector savings are increasingly dependent on complex, customer-specific projects and that Energy Manager...
AI summary The 2027–2031 DSM Plan needs redesign to address gaps in support for small businesses and underutilized demand response resources. Solar Nova Scotia recommends expanding SBES, improving Energy Manager support, treating controllable load as demand response, and developing a strategic electrification pathway to align with future energy needs.
References - EfficiencyOne. 2027–2031 Demand Side Management Resource Plan Application, Matter M12780, including Appendix A and technical tables. - EfficiencyOne. Responses to Solar Nova Scotia Information Requests E1 (SNS) IR-01, IR-07, I...
AI summary The document references various filings and reports related to EfficiencyOne's 2027–2031 Demand Side Management Resource Plan, Nova Scotia Power's load forecast, and analyses on electrification and clean technology incentives. It also includes legal and policy references such as the More Access to Energy Act and the Clean Power Plan.