Topic:"Electricity Generation" in M12861

1 Household Size decreased steadily from 2000 to 2016 as population growth stagnated while new 2 housing continued to increase. From 2016 to 2022, the average household size was steady around 3 2.2, but between 2022 and 2024 household size...

AI summary The text discusses changes in household size over time and the evolution of forecasting models for commercial and industrial sectors, including updates to the medium industrial model based on data from Signal49 and Statistics Canada. The models now use a weighted variable incorporating manufacturing GDP and employment, improving statistical significance.

NFORMATION REMOVED) 2026 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 Figure 27: Electric Water Heater Forecast Year Saturation (% of total population) Intensity (kWh/household) 23 Combined Standard Heat Pump Standard Heat Pump Combined Total Total 202...

AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report provides projections for electric water heater saturation and intensity, including standard and heat pump models, from 2026 to 2036. It also includes a section on electric vehicles (EVs), indicating the report's focus on future electricity demand forecasting.

Page 69 of 105 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2026 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 Figure 48: Historical and Forecast Annual Small General Sales 2 3 4 5 Please refer to Appendix B for tables with a detailed breakdown of the ch...

AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report indicates a sharp decrease in General class load initially due to sales shifting to the RTR market, followed by a stabilization period. Load is expected to recover by 2036, with differences from the 2025 forecast attributed to reduced solar load and increased EV load.

participation assumptions. 1 Request IR-5: 2 3 Please provide NS Power's EV forecast model in excel format with cells intact and 4 protections removed. 5 6 (a) Is NS Power's EV forecast based on Ensuring ZEV Adoption in Nova Scotia: Analys...

AI summary The text discusses requests and responses regarding NS Power's EV forecast model and demand response assumptions. It asks whether NS Power's forecast is based on a specific report and whether the demand response assumptions are realistic and gradual.

2026 Load Forecast Report (NSEB M12861) NSPI Responses to Synapse Energy Economics Inc. Information Requests 1 Request IR-10: 4 (i) How did the cancellation of the EV Availability Standard and the revision of the 5 federal government manda...

AI summary The text presents a series of information requests and responses related to the 2026 Load Forecast Report, focusing on the impact of policy changes, EV sales forecasts, and assumptions regarding managed charging and energy use by different vehicle types.

NON-CONFIDENTIAL 1 (d) Currently there is no federal EV mandate in Canada following the cancellation of the EV 2 Availability Standard in February 2026. The shift away from this policy toward tighter 3 greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) emissi...

AI summary The text discusses the absence of a federal EV mandate in Canada, noting the cancellation of the EV 2 Availability Standard in 2026 and the shift toward stricter GHG emissions standards. It mentions the 2026 Load Forecast, which assumes 55% ZEV sales as BEVs currently and projects 75% ZEV sales by 2035 with 80% being BEVs. An error in Figure 29 is highlighted, which incorrectly attributes LDV energy and peak values only to BEVs.

r Summit, EUCI, March 2016. - "Solar Capacity Value: Preview of Analysis to Date," Florida Alliance for Accelerating Solar and Storage Technology Readiness (FAASSTeR) meeting, Orlando, FL, November 2017. - "Making the Most of the Power Pla...

AI summary The document lists several presentations and meetings related to energy and environmental topics, including solar capacity value analysis, best practices for electric generation procurement, and discussions on power plant markets.

Synapse Energy Economics Inc. (Synapse) presents this evidence to document its review of the 2026 Load Forecast Report [1](#page-2-0) (Report) of Nova Scotia Power, Inc. (NS Power), and to offer recommendations for improvements. Synapse ha...

AI summary Synapse Energy Economics Inc. reviews NS Power's 2026 Load Forecast Report, noting higher net system requirements and peak levels compared to 2025. Key drivers include increased EV load, electric heating, and new customer growth. Changes in heating and cooling efficiency models, along with fewer heat pump installations, also influence the forecast. The peak model now includes a 24-hour lagged temperature variable.

3. ENERGY FORECAST NS Power forecasts load using different methodologies for different rate classes, reflecting the distinct drivers and data available for each. For the residential and commercial classes, NS Power uses Statistically Adjus...

AI summary NS Power uses different forecasting methods for various rate classes. Residential and commercial classes use SAE models, which combine end-use and econometric methods. Industrial classes use econometric models and customer surveys, while the municipal class is treated as an accounting matter due to third-party energy supply.

6. RECOMMENDATIONS - 1. NS Power should continue to monitor the impact of trade policy and consider explicitly incorporating tariff impacts into its future forecast if they are expected to have a material impact on load growth. - 2. Concer...

AI summary The recommendations focus on improving NS Power's forecasting methods for load growth, hybrid heating participation, heat pump efficiency metrics, EV charging, solar installations, and DSM savings accumulation. Emphasis is placed on using more accurate modeling approaches, incorporating updated data, and clarifying assumptions to enhance forecast reliability.