Topic:"Forecasting Methodology" in M12707

METHODOLOGY - The report assigns the temperature and wind data based on the highest observed speeds that occurred during the event. - Full accounting of hourly weather data is provided as an appendix for the eight representative stations u...

AI summary The methodology details how NS Power uses data from eight representative weather stations to analyze storm impacts, defines customer outage metrics, and explains the rationale for focusing on province-wide analysis rather than site-specific data. The approach emphasizes consistency with historical benchmarks and operational depot boundaries for outage visualization.

SECTION 6: LESSONS LEARNED - Prediction model The high-case prediction model more accurately reflected the actual conditions experienced, compared to the expected-case scenario. - Forecasts were accurate for snow and rain amounts; however,...

AI summary The high-case prediction model more accurately reflected actual wet-snow conditions than the expected-case scenario. While snow/rain forecasts were accurate, wind forecasts were overestimated, leading to unexpected snow retention on trees. NS Power mobilized crews under the high-case plan when thresholds were met and will refine prediction models for future events.