Topic:"Forecasting Methodology" in M12768

Load Variations PHP's initial 2025 forecast totaled 811 GWh. There were revisions to PHP's load forecast throughout the year, with a final actual demand requirement of 691 GWh. The second and third quarters of 2025 were a challenging envir...

AI summary PHP's 2025 load forecast decreased from 811 GWh to 691 GWh due to global trade challenges in Q2-Q3 2025, though Q4 demand exceeded initial forecasts. Recommendation XIV-1 urges NSPI to enhance ELIADC reporting with contextual analysis on load deviations and system costs.

Part B – Protocol Forecasting and Operation - (1) Annually, no later than the seventh business day of November, NS Power will forecast the Monthly Demand Schedule, Weekly Demand Schedule, and monthly and weekly limits based on PHP's demand...

AI summary NS Power is required to provide regular demand forecasts to PHP and NSPSO, including monthly, weekly, and daily schedules. These forecasts are used for system planning and optimization, with updates provided as needed throughout the year.

CONFIDENTIAL (Attachment Only) 1 (iii) ADC load shifting benefits. 2 3 (h) Please compare the magnitude and causes of forecast error in 2025 with those in 2024 4 and prior years. 5 6 Response IR-5: 7 8 9 Preamble: The reference provided in...

AI summary The document discusses discrepancies in load forecasts for 2025, including a correction from 891 GWh to 691 GWh, and references different forecasts used in the 2025 Monthly FAM Report and the 2025 Annually Adjusted Rates (AAR) Application. It outlines the ELIADC Tariff process and how revised load forecasts are handled by NS Power.

(b) Please provide a copy of any FAM SWG presentation materials and 1 2 3 4 2026 M12768 NOVA SCOTIA ENERGY BOARD 2 (c) Does this amount carry interest? If so, who pays? 3 Request IR-5: 4 Reference: 2025 Annual Report, Exhibit N-1, p. 3/9,...

AI summary The document includes requests related to the Fixed Asset Management Stakeholder Working Group (FAM SWG) presentation materials, interest on an amount, and reconciliation of load forecast figures for PHP in 2025. It also asks for the date PHP's initial load forecast was received and the steps taken by NSPI upon receiving revised forecasts.