Topic:"Integrated Resource Plan" in M12349

REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2025 Load Forecast Report Redacted 31 7.3 Other Industrial Rate Classes .................................................................................... 69 32 7.4 Municipal .....................

AI summary The 2025 Load Forecast Report outlines system requirements, peak demand analysis, solar impact assessments, and sensitivity studies. It includes sections on industrial rate classes, municipal demand, system losses, and comparisons with the Evergreen IRP, focusing on forecasting methodologies and integrated resource planning.

8 30 Figure 72: 2024 Monthly class sums from AMI data vs System Generation ............................. 89 31 Figure 73: Example of time-varying EV effect detection in AMI data ....................................... 91 32 Figure 74: Syst...

AI summary The document outlines the 2025 Load Forecast Report, referencing figures analyzing AMI data, system generation, EV effects, and energy sensitivity. It includes attachments and appendices detailing residential/commercial demand models, forecast comparisons, and stakeholder presentations, with partial confidentiality noted.

1 (e) Please see the table below. 2 Step Description Amount Reference Projected reduction in system 2025 Load A peak associated with TVP rates 33 MW Forecast Figure in 2035 60 B Winter 2023/24 Peak Reduction 1.3 MW CA IR-02 (a) 2,241 2023/...

AI summary The text outlines a Time-Varying Pricing (TVP) pilot aimed at reducing peak demand, referencing the Evergreen Integrated Resource Plan. It includes projected peak reductions, stakeholder collaboration, and plans to evaluate tariff effectiveness. Data sources include CA IR-02 (a) and EM&V.

1 Request IR-22: 2 3 Figure 76 provides a comparison of the 2022 Evergreen Integrated Resource Plan 4 (IRP) Scenarios to the 2024 and 2025 load forecast. 5 6 (a) Has the Evergreen IRP E1 – Current Policy and Trends scenario been updated to...

AI summary The Nova Scotia Energy Board (NSEB) questions whether the Evergreen IRP E1 scenario reflects updated electrification policies and if NS Power's IRP and load forecasts align. NS Power responds that the E1 scenario is based on the 2022 forecast but the 2025 forecast incorporates current policies. Forecasts are deemed aligned despite small differences in firm peak (28 MW) by 2035, though energy forecasts show greater variation.

.......................................................24 3.4. AMI Data .......................................................................................................................25 4. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS.........................

AI summary Synapse Energy Economics Inc. reviews Nova Scotia Power, Inc.'s (NSPI) 2025 Load Forecast Report, noting improvements in quality and a more conservative forecast compared to 2024. The report projects slower growth in energy and peak load, with annual sales growth at 0.2% and peak load growth at 1.2% over the forecast period.

Page 10 of 17 2025 Load Forecast Report Reply Evidence Non-Confidential 1 analyze a greater level of demand response programs, consistent with a greater level 2 of peak loads due to electrification. 17 3 4 NS Power Response: 5 6 Work to de...

AI summary NS Power responds to recommendations regarding demand response programs and Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) scenarios. They outline ongoing work to develop an ELCC value for demand response and clarify that scenario development is part of the IRP, not the load forecast. The ELCC study is expected to commence by late 2025 with results by early 2026.

d the adoption of technologies affecting future load. The Board expects that these adjustments will be closely monitored in subsequent forecasts to ensure their continued accuracy and appropriateness. NS Power is directed to continue compa...

AI summary The Board directs NS Power to monitor economic forecasts, compare data sources, and track battery storage price trends. It agrees that some intervenor suggestions are better suited for the next Integrated Resource Plan. The Independent Energy System Operator (IESO) has initiated a stakeholder engagement process.

Document: 322941 Date Filed: 07/24/25 Page 5 1 a) The AEC report notes that investment in housing is up 17% and identifies growth nodes 2 in the Halifax Regional Municipality that will be developed over the Load Forecast period. 3 Does NS...

AI summary The text includes questions from intervenors to NS Power regarding capacity to address demand increases in Halifax, consideration of infrastructure projects in load forecasts, updates from industrial customers, and the methodology for using 'achievable potential' in peak demand estimates. It also references the Evergreen Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) and requests data comparisons for demand response programs.

a) Has the Evergreen IRP E1 – Current Policy and Trends scenario been updated to reflect 26 the current environmental policies and consumer incentives for electrification? 27 b) The table shows that the IRP has underestimated the 2024 and...

AI summary The text includes questions about the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) alignment with energy demand forecasts, underestimation of demand in the IRP, and the long-term compounding effects of economic factors on energy sales. It also references a document (322941) and requests analysis of economic impacts on energy sales.

response, please provide support for all data and assumptions. 24 25 (f) Please summarize the plans for the TVP Pilot and the longer-term plan for TVP tariff 26 deployment. 27 Date Filed: July 28, 2025 CA (NSPI) Page 3 of 4 1 (g) Please id...

AI summary The text outlines regulatory requests to NS Power for data and analysis on the TVP Pilot program, long-term TVP tariff deployment, and methodological comparisons between aggregate and class-specific forecasting approaches. It seeks details on performance metrics, data requirements, and implications of shifting forecasting methodologies.

(as will federal investment tax credits where applicable). And, scale, workforce experience, and competition within the Nova Scotia market will further drive down installation costs. 6. It is an object of the NSIESO to “[p]rior to, or as p...

AI summary The NSIESO is tasked with conducting a DER Potential Assessment to inform the 2026 Load Forecast Report and procurement activities, emphasizing DER deployment to alleviate grid constraints. Fuel-switching to in-province electricity aligns with the province’s energy policy, including the Clean Power Plan’s focus on electrifying heating and transportation.

d the adoption of technologies affecting future load. The Board expects that these adjustments will be closely monitored in subsequent forecasts to ensure their continued accuracy and appropriateness. NS Power is directed to continue compa...

AI summary The Board directs NS Power to monitor economic forecasts, compare them with bank data, track battery storage price trends, and defer some intervenor suggestions to the next Integrated Resource Plan. The Board agrees with NS Power on certain points, noting the IESO's stakeholder engagement process.