E-32025 DSM Evaluation Reports
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Business Energy Rebates – Instant Rebates To validate 2024 market evaluation results and determine timing for when a baseline for Business Energy Rebates – Instant Rebates LED fixtures should take effect as well as to identify the implicat...
AI summary A market study evaluated the Business Energy Rebates – Instant Rebates program, noting increased LED adoption in commercial lighting markets, declining prices, and shifts in distributor practices. The study also identified implications for baseline adjustments and program adaptations in response to market transformation.
9.3 Participation History As presented in [Figure](#page-190-1) 9 below, EPI had 9,245 DSM participants, which represents a 7.5% decrease in participation compared to 2024 levels.[14](#page-190-2) In 2025, 90,666 efficient products were in...
AI summary EPI's DSM participation dropped 7.5% in 2025, with efficient product installations declining 40% due to LED phase-out. Despite lower product volumes, average savings fell only 12% due to higher efficiency from electrician-installed products. Smart thermostats now drive 51% of energy savings despite comprising only 11% of installations.
heet to enhance transparency and reduce the risk of errors. 2025 BER-Finding: Average interactive effects factors calculated for Instant Rebates were similar to those used in the 2024 evaluation. 2025 BER-Finding: According to distributors...
AI summary The 2025 BER findings note Nova Scotia's LED fixture market is nearly fully transitioned (99%+ LED inventory), with DLC certification prevalence. The rebound effect from discontinuing BER-IR incentives is deemed unlikely. Recommendations include updating LED baseline assumptions to DLC-certified standards and exploring rebates for premium DLC products.
Interview with Mass Save The Evaluator conducted an interview with Mass Save staff who have worked on Mass Save BNI lighting programs to understand the decision to remove lighting from their midstream program, lessons learned, and whether...
AI summary An evaluator interviewed Mass Save staff about their decision to remove lighting from midstream BNI programs, lessons learned, and observed market changes like reduced LED stocking. The discussion focuses on program adjustments and market dynamics post-removal of incentives.
Lighting Based on the comprehensive review of 18 lighting projects, the most common adjustment for lighting measures was revising hours of use (HOUs) and peak coincidence factors using the data collected on site. This was mostly due to app...
AI summary The review of 18 lighting projects highlights that revising hours of use (HOUs) and peak coincidence factors is the most common adjustment, driven by applications providing general business hours rather than fixture-specific data. The E1 BER CIRx Screening Tool standardizes savings calculations, with a reference to NREL's Uniform Methods Project.
6 BER Market Evolution E1 has been active in the light-emitting diode (LED) market of the business, non-profit, and institutional (BNI) sector through Business Energy Rebates (BER) since 2010. Market evolution assessments of the BNI lighti...
AI summary E1 has managed Business Energy Rebates (BER) for BNI sector LED lighting since 2010, with market evaluations conducted in 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, and 2024. The 2024 evaluation recommended further research to validate findings, focusing on LED linear lamps, fixtures, and outdoor fixtures, and using New Brunswick as a comparator for incentive impact analysis.
6.1 BER-IR Lighting Market Study Results The results of interviews conducted with New Brunswick distributors and one non-participating Atlantic Canada distributor to gauge the market evolution of LED fixtures and lamps is explored first in...
AI summary The BER-IR Lighting Market Study analyzes LED fixture and lamp market evolution through interviews with New Brunswick and Atlantic Canada distributors, a jurisdictional scan of eight North American regions offering business lighting rebates, and insights from Mass Save program administrators, highlighting rebate program trends and market dynamics.
6.2 Sales of LED Lighting Technologies The Evaluator asked interviewed distributors about recent changes in the commercial lighting market, current and anticipated LED stocks. and DLC certified fixtures. Results are discussed below, first...
AI summary The Evaluator interviewed distributors about recent changes in the commercial lighting market, current and anticipated LED stocks, and DLC-certified fixtures. Findings are discussed for both participating and non-participating distributors.
6.2.1 Trends in the New Brunswick Commercial Lighting Market
AI summary The section title indicates an analysis of trends in New Brunswick's commercial lighting market, but no substantive content or data is provided in the given text.
General LED Market Changes The Evaluator asked distributors about changes they observed in the New Brunswick lighting market in the last three years. Therefore, the views expressed reflect the market prior to the introduction of the MBRP....
AI summary The commercial lighting market has become more efficient and diverse over three years, with LED products offering higher lumens and lower wattage. Distributors note increased integration of controls/sensors and innovation shifting toward fixtures rather than lamps, though lamp improvements are less pronounced.
LED Lighting Demand Most distributors (4 of 6) said there was no significant change in demand, noting demand was already high, while others (2 of 6) noted that nearly all lighting demand is for LED products. Fixture sales are generally on...
AI summary Most distributors report stable LED lighting demand, with fixture sales rising and lamp sales declining. Non-LED fixture and lamp demand has significantly decreased, with one distributor noting a reduction in non-LED lamp stock from 20 to five over three years.
LED Product Mix Most distributors (4 of 6) said a growing selection of LED product offerings are kept in stock especially for retrofit lighting and in specific fixture categories such as flat panels and bathroom lights. Moreover, one distr...
AI summary Most distributors (4 of 6) maintain a growing selection of LED products, particularly for retrofit lighting and specific fixtures like flat panels and bathroom lights. One distributor noted the availability of LED equivalents for nearly all traditional lighting options, with stronger growth in residential compared to commercial sectors.
LED Availability Most distributors (4 of 6) also said that LED products are more readily accessible than in the past because of the increasing number of LED manufacturers . However, one distributor has experienced delivery delays of up to...
AI summary Most distributors report increased LED product accessibility due to more manufacturers, though challenges include US tariff-induced delays, manufacturer exits, and government climate policy driving non-LED manufacturing discontinuation.
LED Pricing Trends Finally, most distributors (4 of 6) reported that the price of LED fixtures has fallen, citing improved manufacturing and more competition . Others (2 of 6) said prices recently increased due to US tariffs, while one des...
AI summary Most distributors (4 of 6) reported LED fixture prices have declined due to improved manufacturing and competition. Two distributors noted recent price increases from US tariffs, while one reported stable prices and another mentioned minor annual inflation-linked increases.
Changes in LED Stocking Practices: 2022-2025 All distributors who sell lamps (5 of 6) report a decline in sales of linear and outdoor replacement lamps as more customers opt to replace entire fixtures with LED technology . A different tren...
AI summary Five of six lamp distributors report declining sales of linear and outdoor replacement lamps due to customer preference for full fixture replacement with LED technology. High-bay replacement lamp sales are also minimal, with two distributors reporting near-zero sales and others selling very few.
Lighting Special Ordering Practices Six of the seven distributors interviewed for this study indicated that their LED versus non-LED special ordering practices match their general stocking practices. One distributor noted that they order o...
AI summary Six of seven distributors align LED/non-LED special ordering practices with general stocking practices, with one reporting 20% non-LED special orders versus 15% in stock. Specialty decorative lighting, high-density discharge, and fluorescent T5/T8 are primarily special-ordered non-LED types.
Laggard Market Customer Types Through this research, the Evaluator determined that there are mainly three customer types that continue to use non-LED lighting . The first group includes organizations with limited capital, such as churches,...
AI summary The Evaluator identified three customer groups slow to adopt LED lighting: organizations with limited capital (e.g., non-profits, small businesses), institutional customers under maintenance contracts (e.g., schools, hospitals), and large industrial customers with complex decision-making processes. Distributors retain non-LED options to meet these groups' needs.
6.2.2 Evolution of LED Versus Non-LED Lighting Products Stocked To understand the availability of LED versus non-LED products in New Brunswick prior to the launch of MBRP, the Evaluator asked New Brunswick (N.B.) distributors what proporti...
AI summary Distributors in New Brunswick reported carrying mostly LED lighting products (95-100% for most) prior to the MBRP program, with no change post-launch. One distributor cited inability to source non-LED fixtures, limiting non-LED stock to lamps.
Table 27: Non-participating Distributor – Average DLC Shares Stocked Nova Scotia New Brunswick Lighting Category DLC Standard (%) DLC Premium (%) Non-DLC (%) DLC Standard (%) DLC Premium (%) Non-DLC (%) Linear Fixtures 60 40 0 60 40 0 Outd...
AI summary Table 27 presents the average DLC shares stocked by non-participating distributors in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick, showing the distribution of lighting categories. Section 6.2.4 discusses the reasons distributors continue to stock non-LED lighting despite efficiency initiatives.
Participating distributors that still carry non-LED lighting were asked to explain why they do so. While all distributors now stock only LED options for outdoor and high-bay fixtures, two distributors continue to carry non-LED fixtures, an...
AI summary Distributors continue to carry non-LED lighting to serve customers who are unwilling or unable to fully retrofit to LED. Non-LED options are preferred in some applications, and some businesses are not ready to retrofit due to cost or lack of awareness. Incentives also play a role in adoption rates.
termine savings for BER-AR lighting measures, as documented in the 2024 Measure Assessment. This approach does not take into account LED fixture market transformation that has occurred in Nova Scotia. Market Blend Baseline: A baseline is d...
AI summary The text discusses baseline approaches for calculating savings in BER-AR lighting measures, emphasizing the need to account for LED fixture market transformation. It contrasts the IESO's market blend baseline with Puget Sound Energy's dual baseline approach, which includes a one-third remaining life assumption for existing equipment and forecasts 100% LED adoption by 2029.
LIGHTING MARKET STUDY - Midstream BUSINESS Rebate Program
AI summary The document outlines a Lighting Market Study focused on the Midstream BUSINESS Rebate Program, likely examining energy efficiency initiatives for commercial lighting. Key themes include rebate structures, market penetration, and program evaluation under Nova Scotia's regulatory framework.
A. Identification and Screening of Respondent - A1. To begin, what is your title, and could you briefly describe your role within the company? - A2. Can you provide a brief description of your company? Is your company a provincial, nationa...
AI summary The section outlines a structured interview to identify and screen a respondent, focusing on their role, company details, product inventory (specific LED lighting products), and participation in the NB Power Midstream Business Rebate Program.
- B) Has the percentage of LED sales increased or decreased since 2022? Why? 2025 YTD Lighting Sales (%) Lighting Category % LED Lighting % Non-LED Lighting Increase/Decrease in LED vs. 2022? Why? a) Linear fixtures % % b) Linear lamps % %...
AI summary The text asks whether the percentage of LED sales has increased or decreased since 2022 and why. It includes a table with lighting categories and asks for an explanation of changes in LED sales, particularly for replacement lamps for linear fixtures in 2025.
Lighting Category Reasons for still carrying non-LED a) Linear fixtures Record: b) Linear lamps Record: c) Outdoor fixtures Record: d) Outdoor replacement lamps Record: e) High bay fixtures Record: f) High bay replacement lamps Record: - B...
AI summary The document includes a table listing various lighting categories and reasons for still carrying non-LED lighting, with a question asking if specific customer segments actively seek non-LED lighting. No direct answers are provided in the text.
- B10. [IF B9 = YES OR MENTIONED AT B8] Do you stock non-LED lighting specifically to meet the needs of these customers or market segments? - 1. Yes - 2. No - 98. Don't know - B11. A) Two years from now, in 2027, what percentage of your [R...
AI summary This section of the regulatory proceeding document asks respondents about their current stock of non-LED lighting and their projected LED lighting sales in New Brunswick by 2027, along with the reasons for any expected changes compared to 2025.
Introduction Thank you for taking the time to speak with me today. I am interested in your perspective on the state of the lighting market in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. Econoler, in partnership with Narrative Research, is conducting th...
AI summary Efficiency Nova Scotia, in partnership with Econoler and Narrative Research, is conducting market research on the lighting market in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick to improve rebate programs. The research involves confidential interviews with participants, with optional audio recording permitted with consent.
B. Lighting Market Assessment - B1. Based on your observations, what's happened in the commercial LED lighting market in the past three years in terms of…in Nova Scotia? Any differences to note in New Brunswick? [ASK FOR EACH] - a. New tec...
AI summary The section assesses the commercial LED lighting market in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick over the past three years, focusing on technological changes, demand trends, product availability, pricing, and market penetration. It also asks about the proportion of LED vs. non-LED lighting supplied in 2025 and regional differences.
2025 YTD Lighting Sales (%) Lighting Category % LED Lighting % Non-LED Lighting Increase/Decrease in LED vs. 2022? Why? 1. Linear fixtures % % 2. Linear lamps % % 3. Outdoor fixtures % % 4. Outdoor replacement lamps % % B5. [ASK IF B3=2 (L...
AI summary The text presents a table and a question regarding the sales of lighting products in Nova Scotia for 2025, specifically focusing on linear fixtures and lamps. The table includes categories and percentages for LED and non-LED lighting, and the question asks about the sales of replacement lamps for linear fixtures.
- 1. You are selling very few, most customers are replacing whole fixtures with LED fixtures - 2. Compared to 2022 your sales are decreasing, as more customers are replacing whole fixtures with LED fixtures. - 3. Compared to 2022, there is...
AI summary The text discusses the declining sales of replacement lamps in Nova Scotia, as customers increasingly replace entire fixtures with LED lighting. The probe also asks about differences in New Brunswick and reasons for continuing to sell non-LED products in certain categories.
Lighting Category Reasons for still carrying non-LED 1. Linear fixtures Record: 2. Linear lamps Record: 3. Outdoor fixtures Record: 4. Outdoor replacement lamps Record: B8. [IF NOT MENTIONED AT B8//IF KNOWN] Broadly speaking, are there spe...
AI summary The document inquires whether specific customer types or market segments in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick actively seek non-LED lighting, and whether this behavior varies across regions in Canada. It references lighting categories and reasons for continuing use of non-LED products.
VERBATIM RESPONSE: - B9. [IF B9 = YES OR MENTIONED AT B8//IF KNOWN] Do you sell non-LED lighting specifically to meet the needs of these customers or market segments? - 1. Yes - 2. No - 98. Don't know - B10. A) Two years from now, in 2027,...
AI summary The response includes questions about the sale of non-LED lighting and future LED lighting sales percentages in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick, as well as reasons for expected changes in sales trends.
- C) [IF LESS THAN 100% FOR LED AT B11A] When do you expect LED products to make up 100% of your [READ CATEGORY NAME] sales in Nova Scotia? What about New Brunswick? What about Canada-wide? Lighting Estimated Sales (%) in 2026 Lighting Cat...
AI summary The text presents a set of questions regarding the expected timeline for LED products to make up 100% of sales in Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, and Canada-wide, as well as the distribution of DLC-certified LED products in different lighting categories. It also references the BER-IR Program under the Awareness & Participation section.
DEFINITIONS Accuracy Reflects the proximity of measurements to the true value. 2.7.1 Interactive Effects . 123 2.7.2 Peak Demand Savings Factors 2.7.3 Renewable Measures . 124 (1) Solar Photovoltaic Systems . 124 3 Effect ive Useful Life ....
AI summary The text outlines definitions and categories related to energy efficiency and demand-side management, including terms like accuracy, interactive effects, peak demand savings factors, and various lighting and energy measures. It also includes a table of contents with sections and subsections related to commercial measure assessments and lighting measures.
2.1 Lighting
AI summary Section 2.1 of the regulatory proceeding document addresses lighting, likely within the context of energy efficiency programs or standards. The section may discuss lighting technologies, programs, or related policies, though specific content is not detailed in the provided text.
2.1.1 Interactive Effects In a home, the implementation of energy efficient lighting products interacts with the energy consumption of other elements such as heating and cooling. The interactive effects factors for residential lighting pro...
AI summary The document discusses interactive effects of energy-efficient lighting products in homes, considering factors like heating and cooling systems. It references a 1992 study by ADS Groupe-Conseil Inc. for Hydro-Québec, which was applied to EfficiencyOne (E1) lighting measures in Nova Scotia after climate data analysis in 2015 showed comparability with Quebec.
Table 5: Overall Interactive Effects Factors for Residential Lighting Measures Interactive Effects Factors Measure Type of Home Energy Savings Peak Demand Savings EPI LED A-type Lamps9 Heat Pump Heating and Air Conditioning -25.8% x 97% =...
AI summary Table 5 presents interactive effects factors for residential lighting measures, showing energy and peak demand savings across different home types and lighting technologies, such as LED lamps, motion sensors, and dimmer switches. The table includes calculations for various scenarios, such as heat pump heating, electrical heating, and no electrical heating.
2.1.3 Lighting Measures
AI summary The section titled '2.1.3 Lighting Measures' introduces a subsection focusing on lighting-related initiatives within the regulatory proceeding, though no detailed content or arguments are present in the provided text.
(1) LED Lamps
AI summary The document introduces the topic of LED lamps within a Nova Scotia regulatory proceeding, accompanied by a comprehensive list of acronyms related to energy efficiency, programs, and regulatory terms. No substantive content or analysis is provided in the text.
(2) ENERGY STAR Certified LED Fixtures with Motion Sensors
AI summary The document references ENERGY STAR Certified LED Fixtures with Motion Sensors as a program component, likely under demand-side management initiatives aimed at promoting energy efficiency in lighting technologies.
The equation below determines the unitary savings values of LED fixtures. Table 12 lists the parameters and corresponding values used in the equation and the resulting unitary savings values. $$Energy Savings \left[\frac{kWh}{yr}\right] \\...
AI summary The text presents an equation to calculate the annual energy savings of LED fixtures based on wattage and hours of use (HOU) for old and new lighting systems. Table 12 provides the parameters and resulting unitary savings values used in the calculation.
6.1 Lighting
AI summary The section titled '6.1 Lighting' is present in the document, but no further content or details are provided in the given text.
(1) LED Lamps
AI summary The section titled 'LED Lamps' appears in a regulatory proceeding document but contains no substantive text or analysis beyond the heading. No details about programs, policies, or arguments related to LED lamps are provided in the chunk.
(2) Linear LED Fixtures
AI summary The document section titled '(2) Linear LED Fixtures' appears to be a heading or subheading within a regulatory proceeding, likely discussing energy efficiency measures related to linear LED lighting technology in Nova Scotia.
(3) Linear LED Lamps
AI summary This section of the regulatory proceeding document addresses linear LED lamps, though no detailed content or discussion is provided in the text. The heading indicates the topic but lacks substantive information.
(5) Directional and Architectural LED Fixtures
AI summary The section addresses regulatory considerations for directional and architectural LED fixtures, likely focusing on their efficiency, compliance with energy standards, and integration into broader lighting programs. Key themes include energy efficiency, program design, and technological adoption.
(7) LED Nightlights
AI summary This document section introduces the topic of LED Nightlights but does not provide detailed analysis or discussion on the subject.
(8) LED Roadway Lighting
AI summary The section discusses LED roadway lighting, though no detailed content is provided in the given text.
Summary Table 172 presents a summary of the values used to calculate savings for LED roadway lighting. The detailed methodology follows.
AI summary Table 172 summarizes the values used to calculate savings for LED roadway lighting. The detailed methodology for these calculations is provided in the following sections.
APPENDIX III Detailed Calculations of 2025 Equivalent EUL Values for LED Lamps and Fixtures This appendix presents how the equivalent effective useful life (EUL) of LED lamps and fixtures were calculated for applicable measures in the EPI...
AI summary The appendix details the calculation of Equivalent Effective Useful Life (EUL) values for LED lamps and fixtures in the EPI and Instant Savings programs. Starting in 2025, the baseline assumes LED use, so no savings for natural replacements. However, EPI replacements of non-LED units are considered early replacements, allowing a 1-year EUL assumption.
ent of Energy, Energy Conservation Standards for General Service Lamps (EISA 2007 Backstop, 45 lm/W) — Enforcement Timelines, National Law Review summary , May 2, 2022 (retail enforcement July 2023). While the latest regulations establishe...
AI summary The text discusses the shift from CFL to LED lamps in Nova Scotia, noting market maturity and implications for EPI programs. It highlights that LED technology is now the standard, with E1's direct-install programs assuming one-year savings from replacing non-LED bulbs, as LED replacements are expected post-2025.