Topic:"Multi Year Planning Cycle" in M08929

Page 2 of 67 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL

AI summary The chunk marks the beginning of a 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook document, though no substantive content is visible beyond the page header and classification label. The text provides no details about system planning, stakeholders, or regulatory issues.

se II Study ............................................................. 64 45 10.0 CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................. 66 46 DATE FILED: July 2, 20...

AI summary The text references a '2019 Ten-Year System Outlook' study with a conclusion section on page 66, but no substantive content is visible in the provided excerpt. The document appears to be a regulatory filing with page numbering and a filing date, but key details are absent.

Page 3 of 67 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL

AI summary Page 3 of a 67-page non-confidential document titled '2019 Ten-Year System Outlook' is referenced, indicating a regulatory proceeding focused on long-term system planning and projections.

Peak Demand Analysis ............................................................................... 49 29 Figure 24: 18 Month Load and Capacity Assessment ................................................................................ 50...

AI summary NS Power's 2019 10-Year System Outlook report outlines load forecasts, DSM updates, generation expansion plans, and environmental compliance. It addresses infrastructure planning, regulatory requirements, and renewable energy projections under the NS Power System Operator (NSPSO) mandate.

remain flat on average over the forecast period. 3 4 Figure 2 shows the historical and forecast net system peak. 5 6 Figure 2: Coincident Peak Demand with Future DSM Program Effects 7 Interruptible Firm Contribution Contribution to Peak to...

AI summary The text presents historical and forecast net system peak demand data from 2009 to 2029, showing trends in interruptible and firm contributions to peak demand. System peak growth fluctuates, with a slight decline in recent forecast years, indicating the impact of demand-side management (DSM) programs on load shaping.

25 10 - 25 10 - 25 25 - 50 25 - 50 25 - 50 10 - 25 10 - 25 10 - 25 10 - 25 Service Hours 1496 1210 2203 4182 3401 4602 3476 4218 4249 4304 Tufts Cove 4 Capacity Factor (%) 46 47 61 60 60 64 66 67 64 64 Unit Cycles (Ranges) 0 > 100 50 - 100...

AI summary The text presents operational data (service hours, capacity factors, unit cycles) for Tufts Cove units 4, 5, and 6 over various periods, which are part of the 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook and Projections of Unit Sustaining Investment. This data is used for infrastructure planning and assessing system reliability.

POA-1 High High POT-2 High Medium TRE-5 Low Low TRE-6 Medium Medium TUC-1 Low Ultra Low TUC-2 Low Low TUC-3 Medium Medium TUC-4 High High TUC-5 High High TUC-6 High High 9 DATE FILED: July 2, 2019 Page 22 of 67 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook...

AI summary The document outlines a 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook, including various program and tariff-related items with associated risk levels. The information is part of a regulatory proceeding in Nova Scotia and includes a filing date of July 2, 2019.

Page 33 of 67 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL

AI summary The document presents the 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook, providing a non-confidential overview of the electricity system's future planning and projections.

Page 37 of 67 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL

AI summary This document presents the 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook, providing a non-confidential overview of the electricity system's future needs and planning considerations for Nova Scotia.

Page 38 of 67 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL

AI summary The 2019 Ten-Year System Outlook provides a non-confidential overview of the electricity system's future needs and planning considerations for the next decade.

Sept 30 2020 10 IRP Terms of Reference Consultation Appendix A Page 12 of 12 11 IRP Terms of Reference Consultation Appendix B Page 1 of 14 Stakeholder Issue Stakeholder Comments NS Power Response Category E1 Objectives It is encouraging t...

AI summary Stakeholders E1 and EAC commend NS Power's alignment of the IRP with climate change and decarbonization goals, noting appreciation for flexibility in objectives. NS Power confirms no changes are required to the IRP Terms of Reference.

is an issue to be discussed with UARB as well as yourselves, but it’s a major barrier in involvement from stakeholders. AREA Process / The Purpose states that this exercise is NS Power’s IRP provides a roadmap to Engagement for the Utility...

AI summary The text discusses the importance of stakeholder engagement in the Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process, highlighting a need for clearer purpose alignment with ratepayers and suggesting an addition to the schedule for stakeholder comments following a March 2020 workshop.

n page 7 of the TOR and discussed with stakeholders.

AI summary The text references page 7 of the Terms of Reference (TOR) and mentions that it was discussed with stakeholders.

CA Schedule The TOR proposes the following NS Power acknowledges comments schedule for Comments on modeling about the report being “final” before results: stakeholder comment and has adjusted the language. NS Power has revised the • Final...

AI summary The text discusses a proposed schedule for comments on modeling results, with concerns raised about the timing and usefulness of stakeholder feedback if the modeling is labeled 'final' before review. NS Power revised the schedule to allow more time for stakeholder input and comments on early results.

need more than 2 weeks (and only ~1 week after their opportunity to ask questions in the workshop). Some of the other turn-around periods are tight, but none are as troublesome as the Final Modeling review. Page 13 of 14 IRP Terms of Refer...

AI summary Stakeholders have raised concerns about the tight two-week turnaround period for reviewing and responding to NSPI’s work, particularly during the Final Modeling review phase. They argue that this timeframe is insufficient for stakeholders to adequately analyze, consult, and formulate responses, especially given the complexity of the material.

explore ways to cooperate with municipalities to advance resiliency and emissions reduction. In reviewing the evaluation criteria and process, I offer the following questions for your consideration: • Will the IRP address access to equitab...

AI summary The text discusses the need for the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) to address equitable energy access and align with HalifACT 2050 objectives. It raises questions about validation of assumptions and collaboration with stakeholders such as the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM) to advance climate action.

Nicole Godbout Director, Regulatory Affairs Nova Scotia Power Inc. 1223 Lower Water Street PO Box 910 Halifax, NS B3J 2W5 Via email: [email protected] And Crystal Henwood Administrative Assistant to Doreen Friis, Regulatory Affairs...

AI summary Envigour Policy Consulting Inc., representing QUEST and Marine Renewables Canada, requests greater detail on technology price uncertainty in Nova Scotia Power's Integrated Resource Plan. They emphasize the need for models to determine economic thresholds for renewable energy and distributed resources over a 25-year planning horizon.

1.4 Planning Objectives Through the IRP process, Nova Scotia Power undertakes long-term system planning to understand how the electricity system will continue to meet the needs of customers and respond to changes in the electricity plannin...

AI summary Nova Scotia Power uses the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) process for 25-year system planning to ensure safety, reliability, affordability, and cleanliness. Near-term 'no-regrets' actions are prioritized to align with long-term objectives, addressing future uncertainties while maintaining customer interests.

CLEAN - • Reduce greenhouse gas and other emissions - • Support economy-wide decarbonization through long-term planning

AI summary The CLEAN initiative focuses on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and advancing economy-wide decarbonization through long-term strategic planning. Key objectives include mitigating environmental impacts and promoting sustainable energy practices across sectors.

ROBUST - • Develop a plan that can withstand realistic potential changes to key assumptions - • Build in flexibility so that future decisions aren't overly constrained

AI summary The text emphasizes the need for a resilient plan that can adapt to potential changes in key assumptions and incorporates flexibility to avoid overly constraining future decisions.

1.5 The IRP Planning Process Nova Scotia Power's 2020 IRP reflects a detailed effort over more than a year to create an electricity strategy for the future. In consultation with stakeholders, Nova Scotia Power has produced several interim...

AI summary Nova Scotia Power's 2020 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) involved extensive stakeholder consultation and iterative planning, producing interim documents and an Action Plan/Roadmap. The IRP serves as a flexible, long-term directional guide for resource strategies, emphasizing transparency, stakeholder input, and adaptive decision-making to meet future electricity needs.

/ R E G I O N A L I N T E G R AT I O N Scenario Metrics & Evaluation Sensitivity Base (2.1C)

AI summary The text introduces a section on 'Scenario Metrics & Evaluation' under 'Regional Integration,' with a focus on a 'Base (2.1C)' scenario, suggesting a sensitivity analysis related to climate or energy planning.

/ R E G I O N A L I N T E G R AT I O N Scenario Metrics & Evaluation Sensitivity Base (2.1C)

AI summary The text introduces a section on 'Scenario Metrics & Evaluation' under 'Regional Integration,' with a reference to a 'Base (2.1C)' sensitivity scenario. The content appears to focus on evaluating different scenarios for regional integration, likely in the context of energy planning or policy.

ding the price paid for power exported from Nova Scotia? Is that price modeled to follow import price? Is 1 Also, the term “comparator case” isn’t as clear as the rest of the scenario descriptions. John D. Wilson and Paul Chernick • Resour...

AI summary The text discusses the modeling of export prices from Nova Scotia and questions whether they follow import prices. It also raises concerns about the clarity of the 'comparator case' and suggests testing the impact of different policy scenarios, such as net zero carbon and comparator case policies, on each other.

relative to 2005 actual emissions as a metric of reduction magnitude. 1.7 Analysis Plan E1 – Feb 14 2020 How will qualitative assessment of timing of NS Power will review the timing of capital Evaluation Criteria: investments be used? Risk...

AI summary The document discusses the evaluation criteria for flexibility in resource plans, focusing on the timing of capital investments and demand-side management (DSM) flexibility. NS Power will assess the timing of capital investments and consider DSM investments in the qualitative evaluation of flexibility.

enabling technologies and policy and legislative frameworks become better defined. of electrification. In addition, near-future regulatory benchmarks will dictate provincial November 6, 2020 Results / Roadmap / Action Plan Stakeholder Comm...

AI summary The text discusses the importance of enabling technologies and policy frameworks for electrification, as well as the influence of future regulatory benchmarks on provincial initiatives. It references the Nova Scotia Power IRP Final Report and mentions a stakeholder comments matrix from November 6, 2020.

Nova Scotia Power IRP Final Report Appendix L Page 7 of 125 Comments on Draft IRP Report Page 2 of 21

AI summary This text references the final report of the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) by Nova Scotia Power and mentions comments on the draft IRP report. It provides context for the regulatory process and planning cycle related to energy resources.

3 POTENTIAL CAUSES OF OVERFORECASTING To be clear, the pattern of overcasting is not unique to BC Hydro. Our research reveals that other utilities and system operators also persistently and substantially overestimate long-term requirements...

AI summary The text discusses the issue of overforecasting in long-term energy planning, noting that it is not unique to BC Hydro. It highlights risk asymmetry bias, where reliability has historically taken precedence over cost-effectiveness and environmental concerns. With changing market conditions, overforecasting now leads to unnecessary investments and rate increases, impacting the low-carbon electrification transition.

FINDING STAKEHOLDER STAKEHOLDER COMMENT REFERENCE ‘As we have previously noted, this process is only a part, albeit a very important part, of developing a roadmap for Canada and Nova Scotia to achieve net-zero energy emissions by 2050. As...

AI summary The document discusses the importance of decarbonizing the electricity system as part of achieving net-zero energy emissions by 2050. Nova Scotia Power is highlighted as a key player in grid decarbonization and infrastructure deployment. Collaboration is emphasized as essential for the successful implementation of plans like HalifACT.

Forces PHP Generally supportive with comments on importance of 2020-11-13; p.1/2-2/2 flexibility and collaboration: -‘As opportunities may arise in a host of areas, such as the ability to cost share transmission infrastructure build outs w...

AI summary PHP emphasizes the importance of collaboration and information sharing among stakeholders to achieve Nova Scotia's sustainable development goals in the least cost manner. They highlight opportunities such as cost-sharing transmission infrastructure and advancing renewable capacity. SBA did not provide a comment.

ess. Envigour Supports regular stakeholder engagement for additional 2020-09-16; p. 2/3 updates and trends; Suggests planning evergreen process to start in Q4 2020 with 2020-11-13; p. 2/3 a view to broader stakeholder engagement in Q2 or Q...

AI summary Various stakeholders express support for an evergreen Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) process, emphasizing ongoing stakeholder engagement and regular updates. Heritage Gas suggests monitoring the existing CT fleet, while PHP recommends annual IRP status updates. Wolfville highlights challenges for smaller entities and notes that the Action Plan and Roadmap will be vetted for compliance with provincial legislation.

s differ from forecasts, or if the variable cost of operating the units changes. To that end, we agree with Resource Insight’s recommendations on this issue, made in its September 13, 2020 comments.41 Other Comments on the IRP As noted abo...

AI summary The text agrees with Resource Insight's recommendations on the IRP process, emphasizing the need for NSPI to provide further evidence in the FAM audit proceeding, compare modeled data with historical performance, evaluate sustaining capital forecasts for diesel CTs, and re-evaluate CT economics as energy storage costs decline. Key areas requiring additional context are highlighted.

lios with significant resource differences (e.g. high levels of renewables or major unit retirements), to provide insight on how the required PRM may change with different resource mixes.” Page 11. Synapse Energy Economics, Inc. Analysis o...

AI summary Synapse Energy Economics, Inc. analyzed NSPI's 2020 Integrated Resource Plan, recommending expansion of studies on renewable integration, PRM, and capacity value. They emphasized enhancing scenario analysis, incorporating diverse resource mixes, and ongoing ELCC effect evaluations to improve IRP accuracy and reliability.

II. Summary One of the outcomes of the IRP process is an understanding by several participants, such as Bates White, Synapse, Efficiency One, and Resource Insight, that a number of improvements to NS Power's planning and procurement proces...

AI summary The summary outlines recommendations for NS Power's Integrated Resource Plan (IRP), including adding an RFP for 700 MW of wind by 2025, integrating transmission and reliability measures, requiring updated modeling for Mersey hydro, recognizing electrification benefits, supporting FAM audit studies, incorporating CO2 shadow prices, and establishing an 'evergreen IRP process.'

III. Action Plan We concur with a substantial portion of the Action Plan, including the electrification strategy (Item 2), treatment of plant retirements (Items 3a-3c), demand response (Item 4), and DSM avoided cost calculation methods (It...

AI summary The text agrees with parts of NS Power's Action Plan but argues it needs optimization in resource procurement, transmission/wind integration, and Mersey hydro redevelopment. It recommends updated IRP analysis and using the DSM Rate and Bill Impact Analysis model for avoided cost calculations. The Mersey decision requires more than the ACE Plan model.

REVIEW OF NOVA SCOTIA POWER'S 2020 INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN completed."[34](#page-17-0) The term "evergreen" suggests a frequent update process, with many small changes, rather than a long process cycle. This is an interesting idea, and we...

AI summary The document critiques NS Power's 'evergreen' Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) process, noting ambiguity around update frequency and stakeholder consultation. It recommends engaging active IRP stakeholders to clarify the process and obtain Board feedback on defining 'evergreen' criteria.

Broader Energy Implications of this IRP NSPI's IRP is strongly centered on widespread electrification with a broad spectrum of assumptions for electrification, which could play out in different ways in the coming years. Heritage Gas is sup...

AI summary NSPI's IRP emphasizes electrification across sectors, with Heritage Gas supporting but cautioning against subsuming other energy providers. The IRP's 25-year grid transition plan may conflict with broader energy strategies. Heritage Gas recommends a holistic review to align with 2050 targets, considering hydrogen, RNG, and market dynamics.

a process that adds value to the final IRP product. [15](#page-6-0) PHP's comments confirm its view that the results of the IRP process point in the direction laid out in NS Power's IRP Action Plan: It is clear from the IRP Report that NSP...

AI summary PHP supports NS Power's IRP Action Plan, emphasizing a shift to in-province renewables, regional integration, and demand response. It acknowledges the need for further analysis on transition pace and assumptions, endorsing NS Power's evergreen IRP approach for ongoing evaluation.

Bates White IRP comment NSPI should conduct regular and robust planning to help ensure that its resource fleet meets NERC and NPCC requirements without being overcapacity." Accordingly, the "IRP planning should…be conducted regularly (e.g....

AI summary Bates White recommends regular IRP planning to ensure NSPI's resource fleet meets NERC and NPCC requirements without overcapacity. NSPI agreed but proposed triggering IRPs based on major changes in the planning environment, not every two years. NSPI committed to updating long-term planning regularly, as noted in its 2020 IRP Report and Roadmap.

Conclusion NS Power wishes to express its appreciation to the Board for supporting a timeline that enabled the level of consultation and collaboration to take place throughout this process which provided the Company with the ability to exp...

AI summary NS Power thanks the Board for enabling thorough consultation during the 2020 IRP process, allowing comprehensive scenario analysis. The company asserts the record is complete, closing the 2020 IRP matter, and commits to executing its IRP Action Plan and Roadmap for long-term electricity strategy, including the Evergreen Process.

rgreen Process Roadmap (8) The 2020 IRP is being completed six years after the previous IRP, which is clearly far too long between planning updates. NS Power suggests an evergreen IRP process, with "annual updates … and as Action Plan item...

AI summary The document discusses NS Power's proposal for an 'evergreen' Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) process with annual updates, as opposed to the six-year cycle of the 2020 IRP. The Board is encouraged to engage stakeholders to clarify the scope and implementation of this approach. NS Power agrees to continue engaging stakeholders as it develops the Evergreen IRP process.

from interested parties focused on specific considerations for scenario development, evaluation criteria, and modeling approach. The Board approved the Terms of Reference document on January 21, 2020. Document: 282916 The results of NS Pow...

AI summary Nova Scotia Power's Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process involved stakeholder engagement, collaboration with consultants like E3, Synapse, and Bates White, and the development of an Action Plan and Roadmap. The Board approved the Terms of Reference in 2020, and the IRP report was filed in November 2020, emphasizing stakeholder input and strategic monitoring.

March 4, 2020 Doreen Friis Regulatory Affairs Officer/Clerk Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board 1601 Lower Water Street, 3rd Floor P.O. Box 1692, Unit "M" Halifax, NS B3J 3S3 Dear Ms. Friis: Re: M08929- Integrated Resource Planning (IRP)...

AI summary NS Power informs the Board of a delay in finalizing the Assumptions and Analysis Plan for the IRP from March 5 to March 11, 2020, with no impact on the overall project schedule ending in September 2020. Stakeholder conferences were held, and the project remains on track.

a significant issue, as is the continued collaboration between HRM and NSPI to ensure the electrical distribution system in HRM can accommodate the changes that are needed to achieve our 2050 targets. Considering the above, HRM wants to gi...

AI summary HRM requests an extension of deadlines for reviewing the Draft Findings and Action Plan and Draft IRP Report, citing the need for a thorough review to align with climate goals. They emphasize the importance of sufficient time to ensure the IRP accommodates HRM's Climate Action Plan.

M08929 - NS Power's Integrated Resource Plan This will acknowledge receipt of your letter dated October 30, 2020, requesting a further extension of the date to file the Final Report from October 30, 2020 to November 27, 2020, regarding the...

AI summary The Board approves NS Power's request to extend the deadline for submitting the Final Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) Report from October 30, 2020, to November 27, 2020, with adjusted milestone dates for stakeholder engagement and report submission.