E-1Application and Evidence
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3 1.5 RATE CLASS ALLOCATIONS 4 Rate class spending estimates for 2026 are largely aligned with expectations for 2025. The planned 5 expenditures under each rate class forecasted for the 2026 DSM Extension are reflected i[n Table 2,](#page-...
AI summary Rate class spending estimates for 2026 are largely aligned with 2025 expectations. The planned expenditures under each rate class for the 2026 DSM Extension are reflected in Table 2.
To develop the 2026 rate class spending estimates E1 used the available data from 2022, 2023 and 2024. In the NSUARB's decision on NS Power's Application for the 2025 DSM Cost Recovery Rider (DCRR), E1 was directed to "take notice of the c...
AI summary E1 used data from 2022 to 2024 to develop 2026 rate class spending estimates. The NSUARB directed E1 to address concerns from the Industrial Group in its pending 2025 DSM program application. E1 is committed to transparency and will provide quarterly and annual reports on rate class spending and variances.
3.1 OVERVIEW In support of the 2026 DSM Extension Application, E1 has conducted a fulsome modelling process. An overarching objective of E1 in its modelling process for the 2026 DSM Extension was to adopt learnings drawn from the actual re...
AI summary E1's 2026 DSM Extension Application uses 2023-2025 data and 2025 forecasts to inform targets, noting no alternate scenarios were modelled. The NSUARB required alternative scenarios in past applications, with future submissions needing DSM budget scenarios and NSPI rate impact analysis.
8 Table 4: Program Component Comparison of 2025 Forecast and 2026 DSM Extension Year Program Component Comparison of 2025 Forecast and 2026 DSM Extension Year Instant Savings • Further reduction in energy savings and increase in unit cost...
AI summary The document compares energy savings and costs for various program components between the 2025 forecast and the 2026 DSM extension year. Key factors include the removal of LED lighting, changes in provincial rebates, budget constraints, and program restructuring.
20 Table 2: Key Global Model Input & Assumptions in 2026 DSM Extension Development Item Description of Key Global Model Inputs & Assumptions EE DR • Avoided cost of carbon are embedded in the avoided costs of energy that NS Power calculate...
AI summary The document outlines key input assumptions for the 2026 DSM Extension Development, including avoided costs of carbon, line loss factors, and incentive development for energy efficiency and demand response programs. It references the Evergreen IRP, NS Power's 2014 Cost of Service Study, and E1's Incentive Setting Methodology.
7 Table 3: 2023-2026 DSM Extension Portfolio Level Insights Insights 2023-2025 Plan as Approved 2026 DSM Extension 2023-2026 Carbon Emissions Avoided First-Year CO₂e Savings (kt) 326 26 352 Lifetime CO₂e Savings (kt) 1,742 134 1,877 Portfo...
AI summary Table 3 provides insights into the 2023-2026 DSM Extension Portfolio, including carbon emissions avoided, energy and demand savings, investment breakdowns, and cost and benefit analyses. It highlights the split of investments between residential and BNI programs and the net benefits of energy efficiency and demand response initiatives.
3.6 RATE CLASS ALLOCATIONS Rate class expenditures for the 2026 DSM Extension are provided in [Table 8,](#page-62-0) below. Rate class spending for 2026 is largely consistent with E1's 2025 forecast by rate class.[25](#page-61-1) E1's 2026...
AI summary The 2026 DSM Extension rate class expenditures align with E1's 2025 forecast, using 2022–2024 data. A cross-reference to M12186 (E1's 2024 Annual Progress Report) is cited for detailed rate class results.
C. Rate and Bill Impact Analysis E1 also used the actual annual stream of avoided costs of capacity as calculated by NS Power and provided to the DSMAG on August 23, 2024 for the E1 RBIA. These values are outlined in Table 4 above.
AI summary E1 utilized actual annual avoided capacity costs calculated by NS Power and shared with DSMAG on August 23, 2024, for the E1 RBIA. These values are detailed in Table 4.
A. Energy Efficiency ProCESS Model - E1 understands from NS Power that the avoided costs of carbon (electric utility compliance costs) are - embedded in the avoided costs of energy that NS Power calculated for the Evergreen IRP No Atlantic...
AI summary E1 used avoided energy costs (including embedded carbon costs) from NS Power for the 2026 DSM Extension, without modeling separate carbon costs. Avoided energy costs were not included in demand response cost-effectiveness testing. The same RBIA approach as energy efficiency programs was applied for the 2026 DSM Extension.
1 3.2 DSM REPORTING ASSUMPTIONS: INCIDENTAL IMPACTS - 2 [Table 3](#page-104-1) provides the assumptions and calculations for incidental low-income and equity impacts - 3 for DSM reporting from E1's non-targeted program components.
AI summary The section discusses DSM reporting assumptions related to incidental low-income and equity impacts from E1's non-targeted program components, with Table 3 providing the relevant calculations.
Filed Electronically
AI summary The document is an electronically filed submission in a Nova Scotia regulatory proceeding involving Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs, cost recovery mechanisms, and utility rate structures. Key entities include Nova Scotia Power (NSP), the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB), and EfficiencyOne (E1). Topics focus on DSM cost recovery, energy efficiency, and regulatory analysis.
Filed Electronically
AI summary The document is an electronically filed submission in a Nova Scotia regulatory proceeding involving Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs, cost recovery mechanisms, and utility rate structures. Key entities include Nova Scotia Power (NSP), the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB), and EfficiencyOne (E1). Topics focus on DSM cost recovery, energy efficiency, and regulatory analysis.
Appendix B Rate and Bill Impact Analysis of the 2026 DSM Extension
AI summary This appendix outlines the Rate and Bill Impact Analysis (RBIA) for the 2026 extension of Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs in Nova Scotia. The analysis evaluates financial implications for consumers and utilities, focusing on cost recovery and program effectiveness.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EfficiencyOne (E1) delivers demand side management (DSM) programs that offer benefits to customers and the electric utility. While DSM is a key resource option for delivering clean, affordable, reliable and safe energy...
AI summary EfficiencyOne (E1) implements demand-side management (DSM) programs that reduce customer bills despite potential rate increases, addressing equity concerns. E1's Rate and Bill Impact Analysis (RBIA) evaluates long-term rate and bill impacts of DSM activities, providing insights for balancing benefits across customers.
2. INTRODUCTION The forward-looking RBIA is an analysis of the rate and bill impacts associated with the proposed DSM investment only. The forward-looking rate and bill impact analysis associated with a DSM Plan or Extension Application co...
AI summary The document discusses forward-looking and historical Rate and Bill Impact Analysis (RBIA) for Demand-Side Management (DSM) investments. It outlines E1's proposed elimination of historical RBIA filings except during DSM Plan Application years, with the NSUARB accepting this approach. The next historical RBIA is scheduled for the 2027-2031 DSM Resource Plan Application.
3. 2026 DSM EXTENSION RBIA RESULTS - The results in this section are for the 2026 DSM Extension. All impacts are calculated relative to a scenario - where no DSM is conducted in 2026. Results are summarized in Attachment 1, and have been p...
AI summary This section presents the 2026 DSM Extension RBIA results, comparing scenarios with and without DSM implementation. Impacts are calculated relative to a no-DSM baseline, with energy efficiency and demand response analyzed separately and combined. Attachments 1 and 2 summarize results, including rate and bill impacts by rate class, and model outputs.
3.1 OVERALL RATE IMPACTS - DSM can lower rates by avoiding different types of electricity system costs (avoided energy, capacity, - transmission and distribution). DSM may also increase rates, a result of recovering program costs as well -...
AI summary The 2026 DSM Extension RBIA analyzes rate impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs, showing average rate changes ranging from +0.08% to +0.45% over 2026-2041. Initial cost recovery in 2026 causes higher impacts (+2.1% to +4.9%), but long-term effects (2027-2041) show smaller or negative impacts (-0.14% to +0.15%). These figures reflect long-term trends, not annual fluctuations.
14 Table 1: Average Rate Impact compared to No-DSM Scenario, 2023-2025 Plan to 2026 DSM Extension Results 15 Comparison Rate Class 2023-2025 Plan RBIA Result (average rate impact over 2023-2039) 2026 DSM Extension RBIA Result (average rate...
AI summary The table compares the average rate impact of the 2023-2025 Demand-Side Management (DSM) Plan and the 2026 DSM Extension on various rate classes. The results show a decrease in rate impact for most classes under the 2026 DSM Extension compared to the 2023-2025 Plan, with the exception of Large Industrial, which saw a negative impact under the 2023-2025 Plan and a positive impact under the 2026 Extension.
3.2 OVERALL BILL IMPACTS Generally speaking, ratepayers that participate in DSM programs directly benefit by reducing their electricity consumption and thereby lowering their electricity bills. Together, the level of reduced consumption (o...
AI summary DSM programs reduce electricity bills for participants by 0.1-8.8% (2026-2041), while non-participants see minimal increases (+0.1-0.4%). Total customer savings range from -1.1 to -0.1%. Net savings for Nova Scotia ratepayers are $74 million due to reduced revenue requirements from DSM programs implemented in 2026.
3.3 RESULTS BY RATE CLASS This section highlights results in more detail by individual rate class for the 2026 DSM Extension.
AI summary This section details results by rate class for the 2026 DSM Extension, focusing on analysis by individual rate classes under Nova Scotia's Demand-Side Management initiatives.
3.3.1 RESID EN TIAL - As modelled, the Residential class includes Rate Codes 2, 3, 6, 9 and 16 (Domestic), as well as 4 - and 5 (Charitable). - The average rate impact over the study period is an increase of 0.3 - percent, or 0.05 cents/kW...
AI summary The Residential class in Nova Scotia's regulatory proceeding includes specific rate codes (2, 3, 6, 9, 16 for Domestic and 4, 5 for Charitable). The average rate impact is a 0.3% increase (0.05 cents/kWh), but participants see a 1.2% bill decrease, while non-participants face a 0.2% increase. Overall, the class experiences a 0.1% bill decrease.
3.3.2 SM ALL GEN ERAL - As modelled, the Small General class includes Rate Code 10 only. - The average rate impact over the study period is an increase of 0.4 percent, or 0.08 cents/kWh.
AI summary The Small General class (Rate Code 10) is modeled with an average rate impact increase of 0.4% (0.08 cents/kWh) over the study period. This reflects the projected cost implications for this specific rate category within the regulatory proceeding.
Small General Residential ↑ 0.4% Rates ↑ 0.3% Rates ↓ 1.2% Participant Bills ↑ 0.2% Non-Participant Bills ↓ 0.1% Total Customer Bills - ↓ 8.8% Participant Bills - ↑ 0.4% Non-Participant Bills - ↓ 0.9% Total Customer Bills - Participants in...
AI summary The Small General class in Nova Scotia sees a 0.4% rate increase, with participants experiencing an 8.8% average bill decrease, non-participants facing a 0.4% increase, and overall customer bills decreasing by 0.9% over the study period.
3.3.3 GEN ERAL - As modelled, the General class includes Rate Code 11 only. - The average rate impact over the study period is an increase of 0.2 percent, or 0.03 cents/kWh. General - ↑ 0.2% Rates - ↓ 4.8% Participant Bills - ↑ 0.2% Non-Pa...
AI summary The General class under Rate Code 11 experiences a 0.2% rate increase, but participants see a 4.8% average bill decrease, while non-participants face a 0.2% increase. Overall, total customer bills decrease by 1.1% over the study period.
3.3.4 LARGE GENERAL - As modelled, the Large General class includes Rate Code 12 only. - The average rate impact over the study period is an increase of 0.1 percent, or 0.01 cents/kWh. - Participants in the Large General class see an avera...
AI summary The Large General rate class experiences a 0.1% rate increase and 0.9% average bill decrease for participants over the study period. Non-participants see a 0.1% bill increase, though all customers are assumed to participate in BER-IR by 2026. This results in total customer bill reductions despite non-participant line inclusion.
3.3.5 SM ALL IN D USTRIAL - As modelled, the Small Industrial class includes Rate Code 21 only. - The average rate impact over the study period is an increase of 0.3 percent, or 0.05 cents/kWh. - Participants in the Small Industrial class...
AI summary The analysis details rate and bill impacts for Small, Medium, and Large Industrial classes under Nova Scotia's regulatory proceeding. Small Industrial sees a 0.3% rate increase but 5.8% lower bills for participants. Medium Industrial has a 0.1% rate increase with 0.7% lower participant bills. Large Industrial shows a 0.1% rate increase and 0.9% lower participant bills, with all customers assumed to participate in BER-IR by 2026.
3.3.8 M UN ICIPAL - As modelled, the Municipal class includes Rate Code 24 only. - The average rate impact over the study period is an increase of 0.2 percent, or 0.01 cents/kWh. Municipal ↑ 0.2% Rates ↓ 0.1% Average Bills - Municipal util...
AI summary The Municipal class (Rate Code 24) experiences a 0.2% rate increase and 0.1% average bill decrease. E1 program participation by all Municipal Electric Utilities results in identical bill impacts for participants and total customers, though individual participation is not modeled. This simplification affects rate and bill effect analysis for MEU customers.
4. UPDATE ON MODEL EVOLUTION - In 2024-2025, E1 worked with Elenchus, its RBIA consultant, to update the E1 RBIA model and NS Power rate model. Updates include the following: - Integration of historical and forward-looking RBIA models. Bot...
AI summary In 2024-2025, E1 and NS Power updated their RBIA and rate models with historical/forward-looking integration, expanded resource options (including strategic electrification), refined participation methodology, revised data display, added change logs, and enhanced transparency through new model tabs. These updates support the 2026 DSM Extension RBIA and future DSM planning.
4.1 INTEGRATION OF HISTORICAL AND DSM PLAN RBIA MODELS - Both the NS Power rate model and E1 RBIA model were adjusted so they have the functionality to provide - either historical RBIA results (DSM delivered since 2011) or forward-looking...
AI summary The NS Power rate model and E1 RBIA model have been adjusted to provide both historical RBIA results (DSM since 2011) and forward-looking RBIA results for future measures. This integration allows for a comprehensive analysis of past and future DSM impacts.
4.2 ADDITIONAL DSM RESOURCES - In the planning for E1's first five-year DSM Plan (2027-2031) it was identified that in addition to energy - efficiency and demand response, additional resources may need to be included in future DSM Plan RBI...
AI summary The planning for E1's first five-year DSM Plan (2027-2031) identified the need to include additional resources beyond energy efficiency and demand response. The NS Power rate model and E1 RBIA model were updated to allow for up to five resources to be modeled simultaneously, as detailed in Table 2.
4.3.1 ACTIVE PARTICIPATION M ETHOD OLOGY - Previously, participant estimates were calculated using a 'cumulative' methodology. This did not account - for the measure life of savings, resulting in the potential for the number of cumulative...
AI summary The document discusses a shift from a cumulative to an annual/active participation methodology in DSM programs to address overestimation of participants and underestimation of savings. E1's new approach tracks active participation yearly with weighted-average measure life, improving accuracy in RBIA models. Program-level participation data will no longer be included in RBIA but will remain in E1's reports.
4.4 MODEL CHANGE LOG - During the 2022 Historical Rate and Bill Impact Analysis proceeding, Synapse requested that E1 document - any formula changes in the RBIA model and in its Decision Letter dated February 24, 2023, the Board - directed...
AI summary During the 2022 Historical Rate and Bill Impact Analysis proceeding, Synapse requested E1 to document formula changes in the RBIA model. The Board directed E1 to create a change log for the E1 RBIA model and NS Power rate model to track updates, with a change log tab added to both models.
4.5 NS POWER RATE MODEL SCENARIOS - In the 2022 Historical Rate and Bill Impact Analysis proceeding, Synapse recommended that E1 continue - to improve transparency in the RBIA models, and E1 committed to working with NS Power to add M10830...
AI summary NS Power updated its rate model to improve transparency in DSM scenarios following Synapse's 2022 recommendations. E1 and Elenchus collaborated with NS Power to clarify DSM/No-DSM scenarios, adjusting the model without altering RBIA results. The model includes historical DSM costs, planned programs, and calculates revenue requirements by adding avoided costs to the 'DSM Benchmark' scenario.
4.6 DEMAND RESPONSE ASSESSMENT In the 2022 Rate and Bill Impact proceeding, Synapse recommended that E1 monitor for models used in other jurisdictions that they may adopt to enhance the demand response assessment in the RBIA and E1 indicat...
AI summary In the 2022 Rate and Bill Impact proceeding, Synapse advised E1 to adopt models from other jurisdictions to improve demand response assessments. E1 committed to refining models with its consultant Elenchus but has not identified necessary changes yet. The NSUARB directed E1 to report on model developments in its next report.
5. METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS - Attachment 3 describes the overall modelling and key assumptions that apply to the 2026 DSM Extension - RBIA (forward looking). M10830, E1 2022 RBIA, E1 Reply Comments, January 19, 2023, page 5 M10830, E1 2...
AI summary Attachment 3 outlines modeling and assumptions for the 2026 DSM Extension and references RBIA as forward-looking. It cites M10830, E1's 2022 RBIA, and the NSUARB Decision dated February 24, 2023, page 5.
6. FUTURE CONSIDERATIONS - E1 understands that NS Power is currently developing an updated Cost of Service Study. Once concluded, - E1 will work with stakeholders to consider any potential implications to the RBIA as a result of this updat...
AI summary E1 acknowledges NS Power's updated Cost of Service Study and plans to collaborate with stakeholders on RBIA implications. The next RBIA applications will cover 2026-2031, part of E1's DSM Resource Plan filing in winter 2026.
7. CONCLUSION - Highlights from the 2026 DSM Extension RBIA analysis include: - Over the 16 years of the study period, participants in DSM programs see average annual bill reductions ranging from a low of 0.1 percent (typical Municipal par...
AI summary The 2026 DSM Extension RBIA analysis highlights that DSM programs lead to significant bill savings for participants, with Nova Scotian ratepayers expected to save $74 million over 16 years. Non-participants experience minimal rate increases, while higher participation reduces the number of customers facing rate hikes without bill savings. The analysis also notes that societal benefits like reduced emissions and local economic investment are not fully captured in the RBIA model.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. 23 This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Part...
AI summary The text includes several figures illustrating the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources relative to a no-DSM scenario. It also describes participation metrics for DSM resources, distinguishing between 'Annual' and 'Active' participation. The document was filed on April 30, 2025.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Partici...
AI summary The document presents graphical analyses of the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources relative to a no-DSM scenario. It also includes participation rates for different DSM resources, distinguishing between 'Annual' and 'Active' participation, and highlights the potential for double-counting of participants across resources.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Partici...
AI summary The document includes figures illustrating the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources relative to a no-DSM scenario, as well as participation rates for different DSM resources. The analysis includes both annual and active participation metrics, accounting for potential overlaps in customer participation across resources.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Partici...
AI summary The document presents graphical analyses of the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources, relative to a no-DSM scenario. It includes participation rates for different DSM resources, distinguishing between 'Annual' and 'Active' participation, and highlights the impact of DSM on customer energy use and costs.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Partici...
AI summary The text presents graphical data on the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources, comparing scenarios with and without DSM. It also includes information on participation rates and active participation by DSM resource, highlighting the impact of DSM on customer energy use and billing.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Partici...
AI summary The text discusses the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources, comparing them to a no-DSM scenario. It also includes graphs showing participation rates for different DSM resources, distinguishing between 'Annual' and 'Active' participation, and highlights potential overlaps in customer participation across resources.
his graph shows estimated rate impacts of DSM by individual DSM resource, all relative to the no-DSM scenario. This graph shows bill impacts of all DSM resources combined, as percentage differences relative to the no-DSM scenario. 'Partici...
AI summary The text discusses the estimated rate and bill impacts of Demand-Side Management (DSM) resources, relative to a no-DSM scenario. It also provides visual representations of annual and active participation rates for different DSM resources within a class, highlighting potential overlaps and double-counting.
1. GENERAL APPROACH - E1 has used the "snapshot" approach recommended by Synapse, in which the impacts of specific - program years are analyzed (in this case 2026 programs for the forward-looking DSM RBIA) rather - than incorporating an as...
AI summary E1 employed Synapse's 'snapshot' approach, analyzing 2026 DSM programs for the forward-looking DSM RBIA instead of a long-term assessment.
2. RESOURCES AND SCENARIOS - The 2026 DSM Extension Analysis includes the NS Power rate model and the E1 RBIA model, filed - in Attachments 5 and 6 respectively. The analysis compares two scenarios: a DSM scenario and a - no-DSM scenario....
AI summary The 2026 DSM Extension Analysis compares DSM and no-DSM scenarios using NS Power's rate model and E1's RBIA model. It evaluates energy efficiency and demand response impacts, isolating 2026 DSM effects on rates and bills. Alternative scenarios include Energy Efficiency Only and Demand Response Only, with results summarized in Attachment 1.
2.1 ENERGY EFFICIENCY INPUTS - For 2026, first-year energy, lifetime energy and demand savings developed at the program - component level were allocated to rate classes in proportion with the actual rate class allocation - of energy and de...
AI summary The document outlines methods for allocating 2026 energy and demand savings to rate classes based on 2022-2024 program component data. Weighted-average measure lives (WAMLs) are calculated using ratios of lifetime to first-year energy savings per rate class.
2.2 DEMAND RESPONSE INPUTS - Demand response costs, savings, measure life, and customer incentives are calculated and - entered separately in the model from energy efficiency inputs. Demand response inputs are - determined separately from...
AI summary Demand response (DR) inputs are modeled separately from energy efficiency (EE) to enable scenario analysis, including DSM, EE-only, and DR-only cases. DR programs affect demand, not energy, with one-year measure life and continuous participant engagement. Data for the 2026 DSM Extension RBIA comes from Guidehouse's DRSim™ model and historical forecasts.
4. TIME PERIOD DEFINITIONS - The following time periods apply to the RBIA analysis: - DSM delivery period: the timeframe over which DSM programs are delivered. - The DSM delivery period included in the 2026 DSM Extension RBIA is 2026. - Co...
AI summary The text defines time periods for the RBIA analysis, including the DSM delivery period (2026), cost recovery period (2026), and study period (2026-2041). The study period ends when all average rate class DSM impacts expire, with impacts modeled over the full timeframe.
5. AVOIDED COSTS - Avoided costs are calculated at the system level using evaluated DSM savings and avoided cost - rates in four categories: generation, transmission, distribution, and energy. Avoided costs used - for the 2026 Extension an...
AI summary Avoided costs are calculated system-wide using DSM savings and rates across generation, transmission, distribution, and energy categories. Data for the 2026 Extension and RBIA are detailed in Appendix A, Attachment 1.
6. RATE CLASSES INCLUDED - E1's RBIA model presents results by rate class for the following NS Power customer classes: - Residential (rate codes 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 and 16); - Small General (rate code 10); - General (rate code 11); - Large Ge...
AI summary E1's RBIA model analyzes NS Power rate classes including Residential, Small/General/Large Industrial, and Municipal, but excludes Unmetered, GRLF, Shore Power, and ELIADC classes. E1 does not offer programs for excluded classes.
7. CALCULATION OF PARTICIPATION This section describes the development of participation figures, which are used for the participant bill impact calculations.
AI summary This section outlines the methodology for calculating participation figures, which are essential for determining the financial impact on participants in the regulatory proceeding. It forms part of the NSUARB's analysis under the PUA.
7.1 PARTICIPATION COUNTS BY CLASS Participation estimates used in the RBIA model are different than participation estimates used in development of DSM plans, since the RBIA tracks participating accounts , rather than the number of products...
AI summary The document explains how the RBIA model calculates participation counts by distinguishing between annual and active participants, using de-duplicated account data across programs and years. It details three participant categories: tracked, untracked, and Residential Behaviour participants, with totals capped at the number of customers in each rate class.
7.2.1 ANN UAL TRACKED EN ERGY EFFICIEN CY PARTICIPA TION - For 2026, annual tracked participation was first estimated at the program component level. For - some program components this was done directly using inputs to Guidehouse's ProCESS...
AI summary The 2026 annual tracked participation for energy efficiency programs was estimated using Guidehouse's ProCESS model and scaled 2023 RBIA data with energy and unit factors. Results were allocated to rate classes based on historical 2023 participation patterns.
7.2.2 ACTIVE TRACKED ENERGY EFFICIEN C Y PARTICIPATION - For 2026, in the forward-looking RBIA, all annual participants are considered to be active - participants, as the forward-looking RBIA does not account for any impacts prior to 2026....
AI summary The forward-looking RBIA assumes all annual participants are active in 2026 and remains flat until their energy savings expire, after which participation drops to zero. This approach does not account for pre-2026 impacts.
7.3 UNTRACKED (POINT-OF-SALE PROGRAM) PARTICIPATION - E1 operates two program components that offer rebates at the point-of-sale: residential Instant - Savings and the Instant Rebates portion of Business Energy Rebates (BER-IR). These prog...
AI summary E1's Untracked Point-of-Sale Program includes residential and business rebate components (BER-IR) with participation estimated via transaction records and assumptions about rate class participation. For 2026, annual and active participants are estimated using forward-looking RBIA methods, with assumptions about flat participation until energy savings expire. Residential Behaviour and Demand Response participation methods are also detailed, including cross-participation rates and DRSim™ model inputs.
7.6 MUNICIPAL RATE CLASS PARTICIPATION - Municipal customers within the NS Power model are Municipal account numbers that take - service under the Municipal tariff. The number of customers within the NS Power model - fluctuates from year-t...
AI summary The NS Power model's municipal customer count fluctuates yearly between 1 and 8. E1's RBIA model aggregates all municipal customers as one utility, adjusting participant numbers but facing uncertainty due to data volatility in the municipal rate class.
8. CALCULATION OF RATE IMPACTS - Rate impacts are calculated in NS Power's Rate Model (Attachment 5) to reflect NS Power's Cost - of Service in a more precise manner. NS Power's Rate Model methodology is described in - Attachment 4. - to a...
AI summary NS Power's Rate Model calculates rate impacts by blending DSM energy and demand effects into a single energy rate, while E1's RBIA Model uses these inputs. Demand charges are excluded from bill savings calculations as they are already incorporated into the blended rate. All rate effects are assumed to apply to energy rates, with customer and demand charges remaining unchanged between DSM scenarios.
9. CALCULATION OF BILL IMPACTS This section describes key elements of the bill impact calculations.
AI summary This section outlines the methodology for calculating bill impacts as part of the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB) proceeding. It focuses on the Rate and Bill Impact Analysis (RBIA) process, which evaluates the financial effects of demand-side management programs on customer bills.
9.1 NO-DSM BILL IMPACTS - In the no-DSM scenario, for each rate class, and for each year, the total class energy consumption - is divided by the number of customers to produce an estimate of the average customer's - consumption. This avera...
AI summary The no-DSM scenario calculates average customer energy consumption by dividing total class energy consumption by the number of customers. These averages, combined with no-DSM rates, are used to estimate average bills for each rate class and year.
9.2 NON-PARTICIPANT BILL IMPACTS - In the DSM scenario, non-participants in DSM programs are assumed to use the same amount of - energy as they do in the no-DSM scenario. Their bill impacts are therefore driven only by changes - in rates u...
AI summary In the DSM scenario, non-participants' bill impacts are driven by rate changes rather than energy use, with fixed charges affecting the percentage differences between bill and rate impacts.
9.3 PARTICIPANT BILL IMPACTS - For the DSM scenario, within each rate class in each year, total annual savings (i.e., current-year - savings plus persistent savings from past years, note that this is not applicable for the 2026 - forward-l...
AI summary The DSM scenario assumes equal annual savings distribution among participants, ignoring participation depth variations. E1's RBIA includes free-riders but uses net savings, leading to lower average savings estimates. The model does not account for past-year savings in the 2026 forward-looking RBIA.
9.4 TOTAL CUSTOMER BILL IMPACTS - The RBIA also includes a third category of participants, called Total Customers. Impacts for this - category are determined by allocating DSM savings for the class equally among all customers in - the clas...
AI summary The RBIA includes a Total Customers category, where DSM savings are equally allocated among all customers in the class. Average savings and DSM scenario rates are used to calculate average bill savings, providing an estimate without differentiating between participants and non-participants.
Methodology for determination of changes in NS Power's base cost rates as a result of DSM-induced changes in class usage and total system costs November 27, 2020
AI summary The Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB) outlines a methodology to assess changes in Nova Scotia Power's (NSP) base cost rates caused by Demand-Side Management (DSM)-induced shifts in class usage and total system costs. The analysis focuses on evaluating DSM's impact on cost recovery, rate design, and system-wide cost implications.
1.0. Introduction In an effort to more precisely and accurately align EfficiencyOne's (E1) RBIA Model with the methodological process used by NS Power in setting of its base cost rates, all rate setting functionality from E1's RBIA model h...
AI summary NS Power is taking over rate-setting functionality from E1's RBIA model, aligning with COSS methodology. NS Power will provide annual inputs for RBIA under DSM scenarios, including revenue forecasts, sales, and customer data.
2.0. Background The regulated base cost rate setting process involves the following three sequential analytical steps: - Determination of total annual revenue requirement; - COSS concerned with apportionment of total costs among rate class...
AI summary The regulated base cost rate setting process involves three steps: determining total annual revenue requirement, conducting a Cost-of-Service Study (COSS) for cost apportionment among rate classes, and establishing class rates and revenue responsibilities.
Revenue Requirement Ordinarily, the base cost rate setting process used in rate case applications requires a great amount of detailed cost inputs to determine revenue requirement. Annual rate base data needs to be collected on a variety of...
AI summary The document explains that the RBIA does not require detailed annual cost data for rate base calculations, as it only assesses DSM-induced changes while keeping other costs constant. This avoids the need for a full rate case analysis, focusing instead on directional and relative rate/bill changes due to DSM programs.
Cost of Service Studies COSS provides the most insight into class cost causation as based on changes in its energy and demand usage. It shows in a transparent way how rate class usage of demand and energy services within each functional ar...
AI summary COSS (Cost-of-Service Study) is critical for analyzing class cost causation by leveraging NS Power's Load Forecast Report and E1's long-term usage forecasts. This approach simplifies pricing adjustments by utilizing existing data rather than future investment details, ensuring transparency in rate class changes due to DSM.
Rates and Revenues There is little that can be inferred about the cost causation process from the rate structures used by the utility to generate customers' bills. The rates are bundled and therefore do not allow tracking of cost recovery...
AI summary The document critiques NS Power's bundled rate structures, which obscure cost recovery tracking by functional areas (generation, transmission, distribution). Residential and small general classes recover demand-related costs via energy charges, while other classes use combinations of demand and energy charges. Misalignments exist between revenue streams and cost categories for customer and demand charges, as noted in the Cost-of-Service Study (COSS).
Conclusions Bypassing the detailed COSS ratemaking step, which is intended to show how DSM-induced, cost causative changes in usage affects rates will produce misleading results and create difficulties in interpretation. Any such rate anal...
AI summary Bypassing the COSS ratemaking step for DSM leads to misleading rate analyses by failing to account for reallocation of embedded system costs. A simplified COSS process is recommended to accurately reflect how DSM-induced usage changes affect class-specific costs and rates.
3.0. Applied Approach The relative changes in rates due to DSM are determined by conducting two separate rate setting analyses under the "With DSM" and "No DSM" scenarios. The rate setting process under each scenario is broken out by two s...
AI summary The rate impact of Demand-Side Management (DSM) is analyzed through two scenarios ('With DSM' and 'No DSM'), each divided into subprocesses for FAM-related and non-FAM-related cost calculations to assess relative rate changes.
3.1 Revenue Requirement The annual revenue requirements under the "With DSM" scenario are kept consistent with the test year information from the preceding rate cases. The non-FAM costs in the years following the 2014 test year from the 20...
AI summary The document outlines revenue requirements for 'With DSM' and 'No DSM' scenarios, adjusting FAM and non-FAM costs with inflation and DSM impacts. Historic cost true-ups are excluded due to minimal rate effects, lack of COSS rigor, and complexity. E1 provides avoided fuel cost data for post-2022 adjustments.
3.2 Cost of Service Studies Cost of service Studies consist of an application of the following three sequential steps: - functionalization of revenue requirement to the four areas: generation, transmission, distribution and retail; - class...
AI summary The Cost of Service Study (COSS) by NS Power involves three steps: functionalizing revenue requirements, classifying costs, and apportioning them among rate classes. Most costs are shared, except streetlight fixture costs assigned to unmetered customers.
3.2.3 Allocation of Costs to Rate Classes Annual cost requirements within each service of each functional area are apportioned to rate classes based on class share in the underlying usage both in the "With DSM" and "No DSM" case.
AI summary Annual costs in each service area are allocated to rate classes based on their share of underlying usage in both 'With DSM' and 'No DSM' scenarios, ensuring proportional cost distribution across different customer classes.
FAM-related Costs The FAM-related costs are allocated to rate classes using the following two-step process: • Annual class energy usage is multiplied by the benchmark unit cost $/MWh - o In the "With DSM" case the benchmark unit costs come...
AI summary FAM-related costs are allocated to rate classes using a two-step process involving benchmark unit costs from past rate cases. The method does not differentiate between energy and demand-related costs due to historical insignificance of demand costs, though recent Maritime Link Costs have increased demand-related costs to 15% of FAM totals. This allocation method may be remodeled in future RBIA applications.
DSM Costs The annual DSM-related costs incurred by individual rate classes, as provided by E1, are apportioned to rate classes based on the 25/75 rule. 75 percent of the costs incurred by each class is treated as direct responsibility of e...
AI summary DSM costs are apportioned to rate classes using a 25/75 rule, with 75% of costs directly attributed to each class and 25% distributed based on energy and demand usage. Energy-related costs are allocated by system generation share, while demand-related costs are based on winter peak contributions.
3.2.4 Generic COSS Results The actual results from the above cost allocation process under the "With DSM" and "No DSM" scenarios are presented in the "COSS Outputs" tab within NS Power's rate model, where the long-term trends in annual rel...
AI summary The COSS Results compare 'With DSM' and 'No DSM' scenarios, showing long-term unit cost trends by rate class. Historic periods show higher DSM cost impacts, while out-years show reduced differentials. Fuel-cost-heavy classes (e.g., Large Industrial) benefit more from DSM savings, whereas fixed-cost-heavy classes (e.g., Domestic) see less benefit. Differences arise from DSM spend, usage changes, and cost allocation methods.
3.3 Unit Revenue Determination For the directional purposes of the RBIA model, it is not considered necessary to develop annual rates with all charges under the "With DSM" and "No DSM" cases. Rather, it is sufficient for NS Power to provid...
AI summary NS Power determines class unit blended revenues for residential and small general rate classes without customer charges, adjusted for line losses. Factors like fuel cost true-ups and rate smoothing are excluded, as they have no material effect on relative unit revenue changes between 'With DSM' and 'No DSM' cases.
Overview of Spreadsheet Calculations
AI summary The document outlines spreadsheet calculations related to Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs, involving the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB) and EfficiencyOne (E1). Key considerations include benefit/cost ratios (TRC, PAC), regulatory frameworks (PUA), and cost recovery mechanisms (DCRR). The analysis supports NSUARB's evaluation of DSM initiatives under the Public Utilities Act.
Data Inputs
AI summary The 'Data Inputs' section lists acronyms and their expansions relevant to a Nova Scotia regulatory proceeding, including organizations, legislation, and programs involved in energy efficiency, demand-side management, and utility regulation.
"COSS Data Inputs" tab This tab includes all annual test year class usage and embedded costs from the COSS and BCF COSS filed in GRA and BCF proceedings as well as a forecast of annual usage by class per the most recent ten-year Load Forec...
AI summary The 'COSS Data Inputs' tab contains annual test year data from COSS and BCF COSS filings, load forecasts, and DSM expenditures, used to determine class unit costs and revenues. It includes data from regulatory proceedings and forecasts for usage by rate class.
Savings in energy and demand usage by rate class Savings in energy and demand usage arising from DSM programs for each class are tracked in the following class tabs: R-Savings, SG-Savings, G-Savings, LG-savings, SI-Savings, MI-Savings, LI-...
AI summary The document outlines how energy and demand savings from DSM programs are tracked by rate class, using data from 2011 to 2022. Savings are calculated by E1's RBIA Reports and adjusted using COSS data on energy and demand losses.
Cost of Service Studies Apportionment of costs to rate classes is done separately for the "With DSM" and "No DSM" cases" in the tabs bearing the same names.
AI summary The document outlines the apportionment of costs to rate classes under two scenarios: 'With DSM' and 'No DSM', as part of the Cost of Service Study. This analysis is conducted separately in tabs named accordingly.
"With DSM" tab The "With DSM" tab provides annual cost allocation to rate classes based on long-term usage as included in NS Power's most recent Annual ten-year Load Forecast Report. This usage already reflects inclusion of DSM Program eff...
AI summary The 'With DSM' tab outlines annual cost allocation to rate classes using NS Power's ten-year load forecast, incorporating DSM program effects. FAM costs for 2023-2035 are adjusted via a two-step process: calculating class costs using 2022 blended FAM rates, then scaling to match annual totals. The formula combines previous year costs with energy requirement changes and avoided FAM costs.
Comments The applied process is a simplification of a more elaborate cost allocation process from the COSS where some FAM costs, such as fuel costs, are allocated to rate classes based on their shares in monthly energy requirements; some o...
AI summary The text describes a simplified cost allocation process for FAM costs based on the COSS, allocating different FAM costs using factors like energy requirements and load factors, carrying forward 2022 unit costs, and adjusting non-FAM costs for inflation.
"COSS Outputs" tab The "COSS Outputs" tab provides two sets of bar graphs of percentage change in class rates due to DSM over the period 2011–2035 calculated as either arithmetic or load-weighted rate changes. The graphs within each set ar...
AI summary The 'COSS Outputs' tab presents bar graphs illustrating percentage changes in class rates due to DSM (Demand-Side Management) from 2011 to 2035, calculated using arithmetic or load-weighted methods. It includes scenarios analyzing changes in unit base cost revenues, considering DSM costs, and a control panel to test inflation and avoided cost impacts on rate changes.
"NSPI Inputs into RBIA" tab "NSPI Inputs into RBIA" provides pricing inputs requested by E1. It includes the following annual class data in years 201-2035 broken out by "With DSM" and "No DSM" scenarios: - Forecast Unit Revenues Before DSM...
AI summary The 'NSPI Inputs into RBIA' tab provides annual pricing data from 201-2035, comparing 'With DSM' and 'No DSM' scenarios, including revenue forecasts, DSM program charges, sales forecasts, demand forecasts, and customer counts, submitted by E1 for the Rate and Bill Impact Analysis.
Filed Electronically
AI summary The document is an electronically filed submission in a Nova Scotia regulatory proceeding involving Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs, cost recovery mechanisms, and utility rate structures. Key entities include Nova Scotia Power (NSP), the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB), and EfficiencyOne (E1). Topics focus on DSM cost recovery, energy efficiency, and regulatory analysis.
Filed Electronically
AI summary The document is an electronically filed submission in a Nova Scotia regulatory proceeding involving Demand-Side Management (DSM) programs, cost recovery mechanisms, and utility rate structures. Key entities include Nova Scotia Power (NSP), the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board (NSUARB), and EfficiencyOne (E1). Topics focus on DSM cost recovery, energy efficiency, and regulatory analysis.
The figure below identifies the Contract Price to be paid by NSPI allocated for each year of the Term. 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total UARB /NSEB Approved Investment Amount 53,000,000 57,500,000 62,500,000 63,750,000 236,750,000 173,000,000 Refu...
AI summary The document outlines the Contract Price to be paid by Nova Scotia Power Inc. (NSPI) for each year of the Term, including approved investment amounts, refunds, and net contract amounts. It also mentions that any surplus realized by EfficiencyOne in meeting Performance Targets will be refunded to NSPI, with a reference to a 2019 surplus to be refunded in 2023.