Topic:"Renewable Electricity Regulations" in M11689

aging hybrid (mini-split) systems and best-in-class performing heat 18 pumps.” 14 As stated in response to E1 IR-02 in the 2024 Annual Capital Expenditure 13F 19 proceeding, “The province’s 2030 Clean Power Plan calls for peak management,...

AI summary The text discusses the province's 2030 Clean Power Plan, which aims to reduce peak demand by 150 MW through peak management, demand response, and efficiency investments. It highlights the Hybrid Peak Mitigation electrification scenario, which includes heat pump saturation in residential areas to meet net-zero carbon reduction targets by 2050.

ORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 Figure 23: Water Heater Forecast 2 Overall % Overall Intensity Year Saturation (kWh/household) 2024 73 1,633 2025 76 1,675 2026 78 1,711 2027 80 1,745 2028 82 1,777 2029 83 1,807 2030...

AI summary The 2024 Load Forecast Report includes a forecast for water heater saturation and intensity, as well as an overview of existing federal and provincial incentives for electric vehicles (EVs). It notes that there were approximately 4100 EVs in Nova Scotia as of the end of 2023 and references a report on ensuring zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) adoption.

dered as EVs) in the province as of the end of 2023. The EV forecast has been updated 14 for 2024 based on the report entitled “Ensuring ZEV Adoption in Nova Scotia” 17, with a 16F 15 provincial vehicle sales forecast that aligns with the...

AI summary The document discusses the forecast for zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) adoption in Nova Scotia, noting that current adoption rates are expected to lag behind federal targets due to regional differences. The forecast aligns with national goals but acknowledges the gap will narrow as targets increase over time.

2024 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 Figure 26: EV Impact to Energy and Peak Forecasts (cumulative) 2 Peak @ Peak @ New Load Year 0.9kW/vehicle 1.6kW/vehicle EVs (GWh) (MW) (MW) 2024 3,387 12 3 6 2025 9,491 34 9 16 2026 13,466 51 12 22 202...

AI summary The 2024 Load Forecast Report discusses the impact of electric vehicles (EVs) on energy and peak load forecasts in Nova Scotia up to 2034. The report highlights the cumulative growth in EVs and their increasing influence on energy demand and peak load. It also mentions the Smart Grid Nova Scotia (SGNS) Project and its findings, which were submitted to the UARB in March 2024.

1 Request IR-54: 2 3 End-Use Intensity Trends (Section 4.4, pp. 30-50): 4 5 (a) For each end-use discussed in Section 4.4 End-Use Intensity trends, is it NSPI’s view 6 that forecast uptake used by NSPI has the highest probability of occurr...

AI summary NSPI does not conduct probabilistic analysis of end-use uptake but considers current trends as the most likely outcome. EV sales are forecast based on federal targets, and heat pump uptake is modeled to meet net zero by 2050. Most other forecasts are based on simple trends or expected patterns.

out 428 GWh (7.0 percent) to the residential load by 2034, a modest decrease in the growth rate relative to last year’s forecast. 46 New customer load is calculated outside of the regression model. 47 Synapse has expressed concerns about t...

AI summary The document discusses NSPI's load forecast and the concerns raised by Synapse regarding the correlation between new housing and customer growth. The NSUARB has directed NSPI to re-evaluate the use of housing completions in its forecast model and consider additional demographic factors. NSPI maintains that housing completions remain the best proxy for customer growth.

15 -145 2,670 147 1 Source: Figure 61 from 2024 Load Forecast Table 9. 2023 Peak contribution components Res Modeled Heat C&I Large Firm Inter. Peak Peak EV DR Elect. Cust. DSM Peak Cust. System (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW) (MW)...

AI summary The text discusses the projected increase in peak load demand in Nova Scotia, with electric vehicles (EVs) being the largest contributor. Residential heating electrification is the second-largest contributor. Time-of-use programs are suggested to mitigate these impacts, and an increase in capacity requirements of about 434 MW by 2034 is noted, representing a significant investment cost.

ed in Synapse’ August 2023 comments regarding the Evergreen IRP Update (M11307), “[i]t is analytically inconsistent to minimize the development and modeled representation of future demand response alternatives that are reasonably, if not l...

AI summary The text discusses recommendations for Nova Scotia Power Inc. (NSPI) to improve its analysis of demand response programs and electrification impacts. It highlights the need for a more comprehensive evaluation of technologies like thermal storage, heat pump water heaters, and induction cooking, particularly in the commercial sector.