N-12026 Load Forecast Report - Redacted
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Page 44 of 105 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2026 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 Consequently, by 2036 the gap between the current EV sales forecast and the 2025 EV forecast is 2 much smaller than in the early 2030s. 3 4 A c...
AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report indicates that Nova Scotia is projected to have nearly 250,000 EVs on the road by 2036, compared to 225,000 in the 2025 forecast. This update reflects stronger EV sales in 2025, but the gap between the 2026 and 2025 forecasts narrows later in the forecast period due to differing sales targets.
(CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2026 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 4.5.6 New Technologies 2 The 2026 Load Forecast does not assume a significant amount of distributed solar/battery storage 3 combinations or storage only deployments. T...
AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report discusses the limited adoption of residential battery storage due to high costs compared to gas generators, with potential future changes as technology improves. It also notes the early stage of Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology in Canada, with limited commercial availability.
Page 51 of 105 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2026 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 PV and EV are modeled outside the regression but are estimated in the “Other” category below in 2 order to illustrate their impact relative to...
AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report discusses the modeling of residential end-use intensities, including electric heating, cooling, water heating, lighting, and other appliances. PV and EV are modeled separately and included in the 'Other' category to illustrate their impact on overall load.
1 6. COMMERCIAL SECTOR 2 3 The Commercial SAE model creates a unique forecast for the Small General and General rate 4 classes. Like the residential model, the commercial SAE models express monthly sales as a 5 function of heating, cooling...
AI summary The Commercial SAE model forecasts electricity use for the Small General and General rate classes based on heating, cooling, and other loads, incorporating factors like GDP, employment, and price. Sales were impacted by the pandemic but rebounded in 2022 and 2023, with future projections showing a drop in 2026 and 2027 due to RTR sales migration and a rebound in the 2030s.
ecast period due predominantly to less solar 22 generation, greater EV load, and reduced DSM in the period 2027 to 2031. Individual class 23 components are discussed in greater detail below. 24 DATE: May 15, 2026 Page 68 of 105 REDACTED (C...
AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report discusses load growth in the Small General Service class, noting a 2.0% annual increase due to heating electrification, commercial EV uptake, and other factors. Solar generation and DSM are moderating this growth, while changes in EIA input efficiencies and lower solar output are contributing to a higher forecast compared to 2025.
Page 69 of 105 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2026 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 Figure 48: Historical and Forecast Annual Small General Sales 2 3 4 5 Please refer to Appendix B for tables with a detailed breakdown of the ch...
AI summary The 2026 Load Forecast Report indicates a sharp decrease in General class load initially due to sales shifting to the RTR market, followed by a stabilization period. Load is expected to recover by 2036, with differences from the 2025 forecast attributed to reduced solar load and increased EV load.
Figure 76 shows the peak forecast, which includes the latest adjustments (wind, 12-hour and 24- 2 hour temperature averages) to the peak end-use model. 3 4 Figure 76: System Peak Sensitivity 5 6 7 This analysis provides a potential range o...
AI summary The text discusses the 2025 Load Forecast and its comparison with the Evergreen IRP cases, highlighting sensitivity to temperature and economics. It notes the lower estimate for load served through the RTR market in the 2022 Load Forecast and the slow ramp-up of EV and heat pump uptake to meet net zero emissions by 2050.