Topic:"Residential Demand Response Program" in M12349

MOVED) 2025 Load Forecast Report Redacted 1 Figure 14: Yearly Change in Residential Customers 2 3 4 NS Power will continue to monitor any government initiatives that may increase housing supply. 5 In a January 2025 update, 10 the Halifax R...

AI summary The 2025 Load Forecast Report discusses residential customer growth and housing initiatives, including the Halifax Regional Municipality’s Housing Accelerator Fund (HAF), which aims to increase housing development by 2,600 units over three years. The report also mentions the use of population and customer count data to estimate household size in the SAE model.

1 5.0 RESIDENTIAL SECTOR 2 3 The Residential sales forecast is generated as the product of a residential average use forecast and 4 a customer count forecast. The residential average use model is specified using a SAE model 5 structure and...

AI summary The residential sector sales forecast is based on average use and customer count projections. Between 2023 and 2024, residential sales increased by 2.1% on a weather-normalized basis due to factors such as work-from-home activity, new customers, and heat pump adoption. Adjustments to heating intensity models have helped reduce forecast variances.

1 measured results from NS Power’s (CPP and TVP) and E1’s current demand response 2 programs.” 31 3 4 Annual DR totals by program are provided in Figure 60. 5 6 Figure 60: Demand Response Year Direct TVP Rate Business, Total Total Load (MW...

AI summary The document discusses demand response (DR) programs by NS Power and E1, including annual DR totals by program from 2025 to 2035. It also references a pilot project completed in 2021 and 2022 involving direct load control through water heater controls, with results detailed in E1’s 2023 Demand Response Program Final Report.

sity energy amounts from the end-use models. 10 11 Figure 69 below shows illustrative breakdowns of contribution to peak by Residential end use. 12 13 Figure 69: Residential End-Use Peak Shares 14 15 16 Over the forecast period, the greate...

AI summary The text discusses changes in residential and commercial end-use contributions to peak energy demand over the forecast period, highlighting the increasing impact of electric vehicles (EVs) and decreasing impact of electric heating sources, while other end uses remain relatively stable.

(703) (412) Change 5.8% 7.6% 7.9% -11.7% -2.2% -3.8% -5.0% -1.6% to load Res Sales = Existing Customer + New Customer + EV + Solar + RTR + Hybrid + DSM Existing customer load is calculated as Res Average Use (10,475 kWh/customer in 2025, 1...

AI summary The text discusses the calculation of residential load, including existing customer load, new customer load, and the impact of factors like EVs, solar, and demand-side management. It provides data on residential average use and its components, such as heating, cooling, and other uses, along with statistical models and variables used in the analysis.

12 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2025 Load Forecast Report Appendix E Page 13 of 19 Forecast Comparison – Commercial • Similar to the Residential forecast, Commercial sales will be impacted by slower EV sales, increased behin...

AI summary The 2025 Load Forecast Report Appendix E discusses forecast comparisons for Commercial, Industrial, and Energy sectors. It notes impacts from slower EV sales, increased behind-the-meter solar production, and higher RTR sales, leading to changes in load forecasts and sales trends through 2034.

2L 5B2 • Tel: 506.646.0455 WWW.PINKLARKIN.COM P a g e 2 serve customer load.”1 NS Power goes on to state that the “2025 Load Forecast shows increased net system requirements in the near term due to a change in forecast for Renewable to Ret...

AI summary NS Power forecasts a 0.2% annual decline in energy sales (2025-2035) due to RTR sales growth, reduced EV adoption, and DSM/DR initiatives, while system peak demand is projected to rise 1.1% annually. The Consumer Advocate supports the load forecast's compliance with Board directives (M11689) but seeks clarification on peak demand methodology and RTR sales assumptions.

the forecast. Or the class-specific energy growth rate, for that matter. The reasonableness of such a forecast could be compared to the official peak demand forecast to understand what is missing (or in apparent excess). For these reasons,...

AI summary The Consumer Advocate requests a class-specific peak load forecast from NS Power, arguing it would improve forecast accuracy. NS Power anticipates increased system demand due to changes in RTR sales, including a new third-party Licensed Retail Supplier (LRS) expected to serve 420 GWh of load across residential, commercial, and industrial customers starting in 2026.