N-12026 10-Year System Outlook Report
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). The creation of the Independent Energy System Operator of Nova Scotia (IESO, IESO Nova Scotia) has implications for the continued ownership of these filing requirements, which are described herein. NS Power and IESO Nova Scotia have bee...
AI summary The document discusses the transition of responsibilities for the Load Forecast and 10-Year System Outlook (10YSO) reports between NS Power and the newly created IESO Nova Scotia. NS Power will prepare the Load Forecast report while IESO Nova Scotia will take over the 10YSO report, avoiding duplication of efforts. The 10YSO report is an annual assessment of system capacity and resource adequacy, reflecting progress toward 80% renewable energy and the phase-out of coal by 2030.
t [https://irp.nspower.ca/documents/pre-irp](https://irp.nspower.ca/documents/pre-irp-deliverables/)[deliverables/](https://irp.nspower.ca/documents/pre-irp-deliverables/) on behalf of NS Power and IESO Nova Scotia. [6](#page-8-1) The outp...
AI summary This section discusses the results of an ELCC study conducted on behalf of NS Power and IESO Nova Scotia, which updated ELCC factors for wind, solar, energy storage, and demand response. The study accounted for saturation effects and identified diversity benefits from combining different resources, contributing to firm capacity and resource adequacy.
Winter 2026/ 2027 2027/ 2028 2028/ 2029 2029/ 2030 2030/ 2031 2031/ 2032 2032/ 2033 2033/ 2034 2034/ 2035 2035/ 2036 1 Load Forecast 2 System Peak (with DSM) 2,497 2,526 2,549 2,563 2,593 2,620 2,652 2,689 2,730 2,765 3 Interruptible Load...
AI summary The table presents a 10-Year System Outlook (10YSO) with load forecasts, system peak, required capacity, existing and new firm resources, retirements, and reserve margin percentages for various years from 2026/2027 to 2035/2036. It outlines the capacity additions and retirements, including wind, storage, and coal-to-gas conversions, along with the resulting reserve margins.
5.3.1 Western Valley Transmission System The Western Valley transmission study was initiated to identify if load growth and new generation in the area necessitate system upgrades and/or protection scheme changes. System upgrades could incl...
AI summary The Western Valley transmission study was initiated to assess if load growth and new generation in the area require system upgrades or changes to protection schemes. Upgrades may include reactive power sources, while protection changes may involve Automatic Action Schemes (AAS) or Remedial Action Schemes (RAS). The study covers 2027 and 2032 for both normal and N-1 scenarios, with 2027 results identifying necessary upgrades.
5.4 Planned Projects The transmission plan presented in this section provides a summary of the planned reinforcement of the Nova Scotia transmission system. The proposed projects are required to maintain system reliability and security and...
AI summary This section outlines planned transmission system reinforcements in Nova Scotia to ensure reliability, security, and compliance with standards. Projects are based on system impact studies and may change due to technical studies, load forecasts, or other factors determined by IESO Nova Scotia.
6 CONCLUSION This report constitutes IESO Nova Scotia's 10-Year System Outlook for the 2026-2036 horizon and satisfies the requirement under Section 3.3.1.3 of the Nova Scotia Wholesale and Renewable to Retail Electricity Market Rules . Th...
AI summary IESO Nova Scotia's 10-Year System Outlook (2026-2036) outlines the province's transition to 80% renewable energy and coal phase-out by 2030. The report highlights the need for successful implementation of projects to maintain system adequacy and meet decarbonization targets, while studying impacts of load and generation, including inverter-based resources, to ensure system reliability.
N-4IESO (NSEB) RIR 1 to 19
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Response IR - 1 meter solar. Adjustments to system peak were not needed. NSPI is required to provide back-up capacity, including associated reserve margin, to the municipal electric utilities and renewable-to-retail customers taking supply...
AI summary The response discusses the impact of behind-the-meter solar on system peak demand, stating that no adjustments are needed as peak design conditions occur after sunset. NSPI is required to provide backup capacity to municipal utilities and renewable-to-retail customers.
Request IR – 6 - If the new 450 MW of fast-acting combustion turbines generating capacity is not in service by - 2030, please describe IESO Nova Scotia's specific plan to meet projected system load, as well as - maintain system reliability...
AI summary The request asks IESO Nova Scotia to outline a plan to meet system load and maintain reliability by 2030 if new 450 MW of fast-acting combustion turbines are not in service, while also complying with NS Power's requirements to phase out coal and achieve 80% renewable electricity generation.
Request IR – 7 - Please describe IESO Nova Scotia's contingency plan to meet projected system load, as well as - maintain system reliability and NPCC compliance, if IESO Nova Scotia has not put 250 MW of - battery storage in-service by 202...
AI summary IESO Nova Scotia explains that even without the 250 MW battery storage in-service by 2029/2030, the system can still maintain a 20% planning reserve margin due to other resource additions and a forecasted reserve margin surplus of 108 MW.
- b) Rows 2 and 3 in the table below show the amount of DSM included in the System Peak forecast; the remainder of the table is consistent with Table 4 as published in the 2026 10 Year System Outlook. Winter 2026/ 2027 2027/ 2028 2028/ 202...
AI summary The table shows the impact of demand-side management (DSM) on the System Peak forecast for various years, with rows 2 and 3 illustrating the difference between the system peak with and without DSM. The data is consistent with Table 4 from the 2026 10 Year System Outlook.
Request IR – 12 - Please provide graphs showing historical and predicted annual system peak and annual net - system requirement values for review, including the past 10 years and next 10 years, similar to - Figures 1 and 2 in the 2025 10-Y...
AI summary The request asks for historical and predicted annual system peak and net system requirement values for the past and next 10 years, similar to figures in the 2025 10-Year System Outlook. The response refers to the 2026 Load Forecast Report and notes that certain loads are not included in the energy requirement calculations.
104074Submissions - SBA
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Re: M12916 -Nova Scotia IESO-202610-Year System Outlook Report Following its establishment under the More Access to Energy Act, IESO Nova Scotia is now responsible for the province's power supply planning and resource adequacy assessments,...
AI summary The Small Business Advocate (SBA) reviewed IESO Nova Scotia's 10-Year System Outlook report and found it generally reasonable but noted areas of concern regarding resource adequacy and system coordination. The SBA highlights potential risks for future planning and recommends further consideration by IESO Nova Scotia and the Board.
ission needs, which is the responsibility ofIESO Nova Scotia. The SBA respectfully submits that ifNSPI and IESO Nova Scotia plan in parallel but without close coordination, there is a higher risk that 2M12916, Exhibit N-2, IESO-NS Response...
AI summary The SBA is concerned about the lack of coordination between NSPI and IESO Nova Scotia in system planning, which could lead to inefficient investments and higher costs for customers. The SBA recommends closer coordination and broader System Outlooks from IESO Nova Scotia.
2. Resource Adequacy Risks and Contingency Planning The System Outlook forecasts a reserve margin surplus in every year through Winter 2033/2034. 8 However, that surplus depends on many projects being completed on schedule. A significant n...
AI summary The System Outlook forecasts a reserve margin surplus through Winter 2033/2034, but this depends on timely project completion. The SBA argues that the surplus may not be sufficient if multiple projects are delayed, and criticizes the lack of contingency planning by IESO Nova Scotia. NSPI also questions the contingency planning approach.
Submissions Consequently, the SBA respectfully submits that the Board should consider requiring IESO to do the following: - 1. Coordinate with NSPI and other parties to obtain information relevant to system planning, rather than deferring...
AI summary The SBA submits that the IESO should improve coordination with NSPI, develop contingency plans, clarify load forecast criteria, reconsider battery degradation assumptions, and address environmental compliance risks. The submission highlights the need for the Board to ensure transparency and proper division of responsibilities between NSPI and IESO during the transition.