N-1Report
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Page 4 of 60 2023 10-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL 1 1.0 INTRODUCTION 2 3 Delivering clean, reliable and lowest cost energy is NS Power’s commitment to customers. NS 4 Power is committed to supplying 80 percent clean energy and phas...
AI summary NS Power outlines its commitment to 80% clean energy by 2030 and progress in tripling renewable energy on the grid. The 2023 10-Year System Outlook report assesses system capacity and adequacy, including DSM forecasts and generation expansion plans, under Nova Scotia Wholesale and Renewable to Retail Electricity Market Rules.
as well as investments in upgrades, refurbishment or life extension, and new 23 generating facilities committed in accordance with previously approved NSPSO system 24 plans. 25 1 Nova Scotia Wholesale and Renewable to Retail Electricity Ma...
AI summary The NSPSO system plan must address transmission investments, DSM programs by EfficiencyOne or others, generation planning for existing facilities (including upgrades and retirements), new generating facilities aligned with approved plans, and requirements for additional DSM programs or generating capacity.
1 2.0 LOAD FORECAST 2 3 The NS Power load forecast provides an outlook on the energy and peak demand requirements of 4 customers in the province. The load forecast forms the basis for fuel and power-purchase supply 5 planning, investment p...
AI summary NS Power's load forecast outlines energy and peak demand needs, using SAE models and econometric methods. Near-term growth is driven by customer additions and EV adoption, while RTR sales and DSM initiatives reduce long-term demand. The net system requirement is projected to increase by 0.7% annually.
ments outside structured DSM programs, as well as increased 22 behind-the-meter solar installations. The net result is an average annual increase in Net System 23 Requirement of 0.7 percent. 24 7 M11108, Nova Scotia Power 2023 Load Forecas...
AI summary The text highlights a 0.7% average annual increase in Net System Requirement driven by factors outside structured DSM programs and rising behind-the-meter solar installations, citing Nova Scotia Power's 2023 Load Forecast Report (M11108).
2023 10-Year System Outlook NON-CONFIDENTIAL 1 Figure 1: Net System Requirement with Future DSM Program Effects (actuals not weather 2 adjusted) 3 Year NSR (GWh) Growth (%) 2013 11,194 6.9 2014 11,037 -1.4 2015 11,099 0.6 2016 10,809 -2.6...
AI summary NS Power's 2023 10-Year System Outlook presents net system requirement (NSR) data from 2013-2033, showing fluctuating growth rates and forecasted values. It details peak demand forecasting methodology, incorporating weather-sensitive loads, end-use energy forecasts, and demand response (DR) adjustments using Effective Load Carrying Capability (ELCC).
historical coincident load factors for each of the rate classes. Peak savings related to Demand 15 Response (DR) activities, adjusted for Effective Load Carrying Capability (ELCC) as outlined in DATE FILED: June 30, 2023 Page 8 of 59 2023...
AI summary The 2023 10-Year System Outlook discusses historical and forecasted system peak demand, noting that customer growth and EV sales will increase peak demand, while DSM activities will reduce it. System peak demand is projected to rise 2.3% annually, with firm contribution to peak demand increasing 2.2% annually. ELCC adjustments and DR activities are factored into the analysis.
increase by 2.2 percent annually over the forecast period. Figure 2 shows the historical and 6 forecast net system peak. 7 8 Figure 2: Coincident Peak Demand with Future DSM Program Effects 9
AI summary The text states that a certain metric is projected to increase by 2.2% annually over the forecast period, with Figure 2 illustrating historical and forecast net system peak demand, including the impact of future DSM programs.
Interruptible Demand Response Firm Contribution Net System Contribution to Peak (reduction in Firm to Peak Peak Growth Year (MW) Peak only, MW) (MW) (MW) (%) 2013 136 - 1,897 2,033 8.0 2014 83 - 2,036 2,118 4.2 2015 141 - 1,874 2,015 -4.9...
AI summary The table presents historical and projected data on interruptible demand response contributions and net system peak growth from 2013 to 2029. It shows fluctuating MW values for demand response contributions, with notable increases starting in 2022, and corresponding percentage changes in peak growth, including a projected 12.6% growth in 2022 and stabilization in later years.
rces and reassess as needed. 6 7 Figure 5 below shows the anticipated DSM and firm capacity changes over the ten-year period 8 starting in 2024. 9 10 Figure 5: Firm Capacity Changes & DSM 11 New Resources 2024-2033 Net MW DSM Peak reductio...
AI summary The text outlines projected changes in demand-side management (DSM) and firm capacity from 2024 to 2033, including DSM peak reduction, new resource additions (biomass, tidal, wind, battery), and maintenance adjustments (hydro derates, Wreck Cove LEM). It highlights a net increase in firm capacity through renewable and infrastructure projects.
capacity) 160 Other Wind (Firm capacity) 21 13 20 Represents the firm contribution of demand response programs in 2033 assuming an ELCC of 48 percent. Refer to Section 2.0, Figure 2 for the annual DR totals from 2024 to 2033. 21 Represents...
AI summary The document outlines the 2023 10-Year System Outlook, including new resources such as the Lingan 1, 3 & 4 HFO Operation with a capacity of 459 Net MW, and mentions other wind projects and demand response programs contributing to system capacity.
1 average ELCC of the wind currently installed on the NS Power system to be 19 percent. The 2 declining marginal ELCC value of adding new wind to the NS Power system was determined to 3 be 11 to 9 percent. In the 2020 IRP, the Company used...
AI summary The document discusses the Effective Load-Carrying Capacity (ELCC) of wind and solar resources in Nova Scotia, noting that existing wind has an 18% capacity value, new wind has a 10% capacity value, and solar has very limited ELCC due to poor correlation with peak load hours. It also references the inclusion of ERIS wind resources and a 10-year load and resources outlook based on capacity changes and demand-side management forecasts.
e a medium-term outlook of the capacity resources anticipated to 6 be available to the Company compared to expected customer demand. 7 8 Figure 19: NS Power 10-Year Load and Resources Outlook 47 9 Load and Resources Outlook for NSPI - Wint...
AI summary The document presents a 10-year load and resources outlook for NSPI, showing projected firm peak demand, required reserves, and total capacity needs from 2023/2024 to 2032/2033. It also includes existing resources and planned biomass additions.
92591Board letter re. accepted as filed
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January 11, 2024 [email protected] Mark Peachey Manager, Capital Filings Nova Scotia Power Inc. 1223 Lower Water Street Halifax, NS B3J 3S8 Dear Mr. Peachey: M11221 – Nova Scotia Power Inc. – 2023 10-Year System Outlook Report (P-194...
AI summary Nova Scotia Power Inc. filed its 2023 10-Year System Outlook Report, which assesses generation capacity, transmission adequacy, and expansion plans. The report incorporates load forecasts, DSM programs, and compliance requirements. The Board staff requested additional information, and the matter was reviewed by the Board's Chair, Vice Chair, and Member.
by Market Participants or Connection Applicants other than NS Power; and (f) requirements for additional DSM programs and / or generating capability (for energy or ancillary services). The Board notes that these reports are filed for infor...
AI summary NS Power's 2023 Load Forecast Report projects a 2.3% annual increase in system peak demand (2013-2033), reduced to 0.7% with DSM initiatives and solar adoption. A February 2023 cold event reached 2455 MW peak load, which NS Power met. The Board notes submitted reports are informational, based on available data.