Topic:"Integrated Resource Plan" in M11689

ts from Batteries ........................................................................ 45 31 Figure 29: Residential End-Use Intensities................................................................................... 47 32 Figure 30:...

AI summary The document contains a list of figures related to energy use trends, electrification forecasts, demand-side management (DSM) savings, and residential/commercial electricity consumption patterns, including historical data and projections.

rage annual increase of 0.2 14 percent. Annual historic and forecast NSR are shown below in Figure 1. 15 16 Figure 1: Historical and Predicted Annual Net System Requirement 17 18 DATE: April 30, 2024 Page 7 of 100 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL IN...

AI summary NS Power forecasts increased system peak demand due to customer growth and electrification, offset by DSM/DR initiatives. Near-term peaks rise from electric heating, while long-term peaks decrease with lower EV sales and hybrid heating adoption under Nova Scotia’s Clean Power Plan and NS Power’s Evergreen IRP. Annual system peak demand is projected to grow 1.4% annually.

the NSUARB initiated a paper hearing process to review the 2023 Load Forecast 11 Report. 1 The Consumer Advocate (CA), the Small Business Advocate (SBA), the 0F 12 Industrial Group (IG), EfficiencyOne (E1), and Eastward Energy (EE) registe...

AI summary The NSUARB reviewed NS Power’s 2023 Load Forecast Report through a paper hearing, with intervenors including the Consumer Advocate, Small Business Advocate, and EfficiencyOne. Synapse Energy Economics provided analysis. The Board directed NS Power to implement agreed-upon recommendations, including IRP outcomes, carbon emission model reviews, and historical load assessments.

r is currently in discussions with the Province of Nova Scotia to understand their preferred 24 approach to complete the referenced Hybrid Peak study. As noted in Figure 7 of the Path to 2030 10F 25 document submitted to the UARB as part o...

AI summary NSPI is discussing the Hybrid Peak study with the Province of Nova Scotia, aligning with the Province's 2030 Clean Power Plan and Evergreen IRP's hybrid peak approach. The Province is identified as accountable for implementing the load management program.

24 Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689) NSPI Responses to CA Information Requests NON-CONFIDENTIAL

AI summary The document references a Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689) and NSPI's responses to CA Information Requests, marked as non-confidential. It pertains to regulatory proceedings involving Nova Scotia Power Inc. and the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board.

Evergreen IRP process, in NS Power Responses to Stakeholder 4 Comments: Final Evergreen IRP Modeling Results 1 NS Power stated: 0F 5 6 NS Power has committed to further assessment of the hybrid peak scenario as 7 part of the updated Acton...

AI summary Stakeholders question NS Power's assessment of the hybrid peak scenario in the Acton Plan, seeking details on analysis, cost implications, emissions impacts, and validation of the scenario's appropriateness for load forecasting.

Power Responses to Stakeholder Comments: Final evergreen IRP Modeling Results evergreen-IRP-Final- Modeling-Results-Summary-of-Stakeholder-Feedback-and-NSPI-Responses.pdf (nspower.ca), page 11. Date Filed: June 19, 2024 NSPI (EOne) IR-2 Pa...

AI summary NS Power aligns its hybrid peak scenario assumptions with the Province’s 2030 Clean Power Plan load management targets. While program design may evolve, peak savings are expected to remain consistent with targets, minimizing load forecast impacts. References to NSUARB M11689 and IRP modeling are noted.

penetration (reaching approximately 1500 MW by 2050). 26 27 (b) Results and workpapers from the 2022 Evergreen IRP can be found at 28 https://www.nspower.ca/irp/document-library. Date Filed: June 19, 2024 NSPI (SBA) IR-4 Page 1 of 1 2024 L...

AI summary NSPI responded to information requests regarding the 2024 Load Forecast Report, stating reactive power's impact on load was not studied and no NZER code implementation is expected. The load forecast focuses on energy sales and peak load, excluding reactive power analysis. The 2022 Evergreen IRP's documents are referenced.

3 Q: What are the implications of this finding for NS Power’s decarbonization 4 strategy? 5 A: A key challenge to NS Power’s decarbonization strategy is meeting peak winter heating load. 6 In response, NS Power began studying the hybrid pe...

AI summary NS Power faces challenges in meeting peak winter heating demand as part of its decarbonization strategy. It is pursuing strategies like time-varying rates, battery storage, gas-fueled peaking units, and transmission upgrades. Customer-sited resources could reduce system peak demand by 257 MW, though infrastructure adjustments would be required for large-scale adoption.

use natural gas to support peak periods of electric 7 demand, but in combination with other fuels and resources and does not rely on 8 development of expanded pipeline capacity. 9 Q: Has NS Power made meaningful progress on the hybrid peak...

AI summary NS Power has not made meaningful progress on the hybrid peak electrification scenario, despite the Board's emphasis on continuing the Evergreen IRP process without delay. The Board highlighted the need for a multi-stakeholder study, but NS Power has not initiated the required assessment.

Scenario (IRP Action Plan Item 4b). Specifically, it has not established a timeline for 29 participation in a study in partnership with other organizations.18 Considering the long 14 NS Power, 2022 Evergreen IRP Updated Assumptions (Januar...

AI summary The document highlights NS Power's lack of a timeline for participating in a collaborative study, emphasizing the urgency due to long implementation timelines for study recommendations. It references the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) Action Plan Item 4b and cites multiple regulatory matters.

tives, February 2011. “Rates vs. Energy Efficiency,” 2013 ACEEE National Conference on Energy Efficiency as a Resource, September 2013. “TVA IRP Update,” TenneSEIA Annual Meeting, November 19, 2014.

AI summary The text lists citations from energy efficiency conferences and integrated resource plan updates, including references to the American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA). These sources discuss energy efficiency initiatives and IRP developments.

outhern Alliance for Clean Energy. Adequacy of consideration of energy efficiency in Georgia Power’s 2010 integrated resource plan, including cost effectiveness, rate and bill impacts, and lost revenues. Georgia PSC Docket No. 31082, direc...

AI summary Southern Alliance for Clean Energy (SACE) participated in multiple regulatory dockets from 2010-2011, advocating for adequate consideration of energy efficiency in utility plans. Key focus areas included cost-effectiveness, stakeholder engagement, resource mix analysis, and evaluation of demand-side management programs for Georgia Power, South Carolina Electric & Gas, and Carolinas utilities.

Clean Energy, South Carolina Coastal Conservation League, and Upstate Forever. Adequacy of Progress Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Carolinas’ 2011 integrated resource plans,

AI summary The adequacy of Progress Energy Carolinas and Duke Energy Carolinas' 2011 integrated resource plans is being evaluated, with involvement from Clean Energy, South Carolina, Coastal Conservation League, and Upstate Forever.

of renewable energy in Georgia Power’s 2016 integrated resource plan, including portfolio diversity, operational and implementation risk, analysis of project-specific costs and benefits (including location and technology considerations), a...

AI summary The text details testimony in Georgia Power's 2016 and 2019 integrated resource plans (IRP) and demand-side management (DSM) plans, focusing on renewable energy adequacy, plant retirements, and procurement processes. In Nova Scotia, testimony addressed the Smart Grid project's cost classification, decommissioning, and capital expenditure plans, including hydroelectric decommissioning considerations.

John D. Wilson  Grid Strategies, LLC Page 10 Nova Scotia UARB Matter No. M10110, direct testimony on Nova Scotia Power’s Wreck Cove hydroelectric project on behalf of the Nova Scotia Consumer Advocate. Reasonableness of project and unreso...

AI summary John D. Wilson of Grid Strategies, LLC provided testimony in multiple regulatory proceedings regarding the reasonableness of capital expenditures, cost recovery, and alignment with integrated resource plans (IRP) for energy projects. Key issues included project justification, prudence of remedial costs, and compliance with regulatory standards in Nova Scotia and other jurisdictions.

24.7 51% 2033 71.3 43.4 7.7 31.7 28.2 39.6 22.9 51% 2034 69.1 44.0 7.8 30.7 28.6 38.4 23.2 51% Source: Synapse from Figure 35 from 2024 Load Forecast Recommendations and Considerations We ask that NSPI explore the benefits of increasing DS...

AI summary The document references a 2024 load forecast and recommends NSPI increase DSM levels. It also outlines Board directives from Matter 11108, including implementing IRP, AMI, and reviewing carbon emission assumptions.

1 // 2 3 We support NSPI’s ongoing efforts to improve the transparency and accuracy of 4 the load forecast. There is still more to do; but overall, NSPI’s Report is very well 5 done and satisfactorily explains the underlying factors drivin...

AI summary The text supports NSPI's efforts to enhance load forecast transparency and accuracy, acknowledging progress but noting ongoing improvements needed. NS Power has adopted some intervenor recommendations but faces constraints in others. Integration of data from initiatives like Demand Response and Smart Grid Nova Scotia pilots is discussed, with AMI data integration expected to evolve over time as models adapt to granular data.

1 impacts due to heating and transportation electrification. As part of its 2024/25 Time-Varying 2 Pricing (TVP) Tariff Application, filed July 31, 2024 under M11822, NS Power has proposed to 3 establish an ongoing pricing innovation proce...

AI summary NS Power proposes an ongoing pricing innovation process for Time-Varying Pricing (TVP) tariffs under M11822, including stakeholder collaboration and analysis of demand response programs. Recommendation 17 urges NSPI to analyze portfolio ELCC values for demand response, with NS Power referencing its 10-Year System Outlook (M11764) and collaboration with E1.

1 NS Power Response: 2 3 NS Power’s The Path to 2030, filed on December 22, 2024 under the 2024 ACE Plan (M11458), 4 provided the following regarding hybrid peak scenario: 5 6 As a component of NS Power’s development of its electrification...

AI summary NS Power discusses the hybrid peak scenario in its The Path to 2030 report, collaborating with E3 to forecast load reductions through mini-split heat pumps and existing backup heating sources. The scenario aims for a 100 MW peak load reduction by 2030 under the Evergreen IRP, with a commitment to future studies on cost impacts.

on previous occasions. In the Board decision letter in matter M11108, the Board provided NS Power with direction on enhancements for continuous improvement in the development of the load forecast and 1 Based on Table A1 in each annual repo...

AI summary The Board directed NS Power to improve load forecasting and stakeholder engagement, with specific recommendations including incorporating hydrogen production scenarios, IRP data, and evaluating model assumptions. NS Power conducted a virtual consultation with stakeholders and included materials in Appendix E of the Report.

imitations. The CMHC housing completions data is restricted to population centres of 10,000+, whereas population centres below 10,000 are estimated on a sample basis in the last month of each quarter. The Board acknowledges the intervenors...

AI summary The Board acknowledges intervenors' input on the Load Forecast and directs NS Power to improve forecasting by engaging stakeholders, reassessing variables, and updating studies. NS Power must address unexplained residential sector variance in the 2025 report.

HEARING ORDER M11689 NOVA SCOTIA UTILITY AND REVIEW BOARD IN THE MATTER OF the PUBLIC UTILITIES ACT -and- IN THE MATTER OF NOVA SCOTIA POWER INCORPORATED’s 2024 Load Forecast Report BEFORE: Richard J. Melanson, LL.B., Member Jennifer L. Ni...

AI summary Nova Scotia Power Inc. (NS Power) submitted its 2024 Load Forecast Report to the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board, which will assess it through a paper hearing process. A detailed timetable outlines intervention deadlines, evidence submissions, and regulatory rule applications.

Date Filed: May 29, 2024 Synapse (NSPI) Page 10 of 24 1 Introduction (Section 2.0, citing to Board Decision concerning 2023 Load Forecast). Please 2 explain in detail how NSPI has addressed the Board’s direction to include/address each of...

AI summary The Board requests NSPI to address specific aspects in its 2024 Load Forecast, including IRP outcomes, carbon emission assumptions, historical load analysis, elasticity evaluation from the TVP Pilot (M11267), and residential model robustness. It also inquires about providing multiple forecasts based on the IRP.

Date Filed: May 29, 2024 CA (NS Power) Page 2 of 6 1 data, information, or analysis is required to incorporate the market trends into future 2 reports. 3 4 (e) Does NS Power believe that additional market interventions are necessary to ach...

AI summary The Commission requests NS Power to address electrification strategies, market interventions, and alignment with policy goals. It references a Board Decision (M11307) requiring third-party studies on electrification profiles and emphasizes uninterrupted progress on the Evergreen IRP process ahead of the 2030 deadline.

re. Given the impending 2030 deadline, it is essential that the Evergreen 26 IRP process continue uninterrupted, and the Evergreen IRP Updated Action Plan and Roadmap 27 be diligently executed.” (p. 5) 28 29 Please describe the steps that...

AI summary The text requests NS Power to detail steps taken to assess the Hybrid Peak Mitigation electrification profile, address the multi-stakeholder study process, and identify obstacles. It also asks to confirm the 1.6 kW/vehicle sensitivity used in the 2024 load forecast and provide system-coincident unmanaged peak impact data for 2023.

on previous occasions. In the Board decision letter in matter M11108, the Board provided NS Power with direction on enhancements for continuous improvement in the development of the load forecast and 1 Based on Table A1 in each annual repo...

AI summary The Board directed NS Power to improve load forecasting and stakeholder engagement, with recommendations including incorporating hydrogen production scenarios, IRP/SGNS/AMI data, and evaluating model assumptions. A stakeholder consultation was held with entities like EOne, SBA, and CA.

efault-source/irp/electrification-strategy-report-february-2-2024- engagement-session-material.pdf?sfvrsn=4d233583_1 -6- Rebuttal Evidence - NS Power NS Power addressed the concerns raised by the intervenors in its Rebuttal evidence. As a...

AI summary NS Power rebutted intervenors' concerns by refusing to include pilot program data in forecasts until programs are comprehensive, committing to use AMI data for accuracy, and citing Bill 228's removal of DSM joint-filing requirements. It agreed to monitor factors like temperature trends, heat pump impacts, and EV adoption while shifting DSM responsibility to EOne.