N-12024 Load Forecast Report + Appendices - Redacted
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0.5 2,623 1.5 2033F 11,605 0.2 2,670 1.8 2034F 11,695 0.8 2,727 2.1 3 DATE: April 30, 2024 Page 9 of 100 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 2.0 INTRODUCTION 2 3 NS Power annually develops a for...
AI summary NS Power's 2024 Load Forecast Report, covering 2024-2034, serves as a planning tool for energy sales and peak demand. The NSUARB initiated a paper hearing in 2023 to review the 2023 Load Forecast Report, with stakeholder input considered for accuracy and adequacy of the forecasting methodology.
the NSUARB initiated a paper hearing process to review the 2023 Load Forecast 11 Report. 1 The Consumer Advocate (CA), the Small Business Advocate (SBA), the 0F 12 Industrial Group (IG), EfficiencyOne (E1), and Eastward Energy (EE) registe...
AI summary The NSUARB reviewed NS Power’s 2023 Load Forecast Report through a paper hearing, with intervenors including the Consumer Advocate, Small Business Advocate, and EfficiencyOne. Synapse Energy Economics provided analysis. The Board directed NS Power to implement agreed-upon recommendations, including IRP outcomes, carbon emission model reviews, and historical load assessments.
f 100 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report REDACTED 1 4.3 Economic Information 2 3 Economic and other provincial statistics used in the load forecast are from the Conference 4 Board of Canada’s 20-year fore...
AI summary The 2024 Load Forecast Report uses economic data from the Conference Board of Canada's 20-year forecast and the SAE framework to model residential demand, including work-from-home impacts. NSUARB's Decision 9 directed specific considerations for load forecasting.
s population growth slows from the 13 expected peak in 2023. As noted in its Decision 9, the NSUARB directed that: 8F 14 o Given the continued population growth in Nova Scotia and ongoing housing 15 shortage, re-evaluate the use of housing...
AI summary The NSUARB directed NS Power to re-evaluate housing completions as a demand indicator, considering household demographics. NS Power maintains housing completions remain the best near-term proxy for residential customer growth despite ongoing housing shortages.
Industrial 10 39 Large Industrial 5 16 Total 61 246 17 31 The effective date for sales from a retail supplier to a retail customer to commence under s.3C(1) of the Electricity Act has not been set. As such, the licence issued by the NSUARB...
AI summary The effective date for retail electricity sales under section 3C(1) of the Electricity Act has not been set, and the NSUARB license includes conditions preventing sales before this date. If no sales occur by December 31, 2024, the Licensed Retail Supplier must apply to show cause why the license should not be cancelled (M10293).
N-6NSPI (Synapse) RIR-1 to RIR-54 - Redacted
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2024 LFR Attachments 5-10 Regression breakdowns in Synapse IR-37 Attachment 1, Synapse IR-38 Attachment 1, Appendix B and Synapse IR-39 Attachment 1 Appendix D Synapse IR-45 Attachments 1, 2 and 3 1 Date Filed: June 19, 2024 NSPI (Synapse)...
AI summary The document references filings related to the 2024 Load Forecast Report, including Synapse attachments and responses by NSPI. It mentions NSUARB matter M11689 and electronic submission of non-confidential materials.
REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689) NSPI Responses to Synapse Information Requests NON-CONFIDENTIAL
AI summary The document outlines NSPI's responses to Synapse Energy Economics' information requests regarding the 2024 Load Forecast Report, which was part of the NSUARB M11689 proceeding. The report is non-confidential and provides insights into load forecasting for Nova Scotia.
EDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report Synapse IR-19 Attachment 1 has been filed electronically. REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689) NSPI Responses to Synapse...
AI summary The 2024 Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689) has been filed, along with NSPI's responses to Synapse Information Requests. The report is part of the regulatory process and includes non-confidential information related to load forecasting.
15.95 2023-02-04 14:00 385.46 15.94 2023-02-04 15:00 363.73 15.41 2023-02-04 16:00 365.88 15.60 Date Filed: June 19, 2024 NSPI (Synapse) IR-33 Page 2 of 5 REDACTED (CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION REMOVED) 2024 Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689...
AI summary The document contains a redacted section from NSPI's responses to Synapse Energy Economics' information requests in the context of the 2024 Load Forecast Report (NSUARB M11689). It includes time-stamped data and a reference to the regulatory proceeding.
N-7-(i)Attachment 1 - CV of John Wilson
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John D. Wilson Grid Strategies, LLC Page 8 systems, review of annually recurring capital projects, use of project contingencies, and cost minimization practices. Nova Scotia UARB Matter No. M09579, direct testimony with Paul Chernick in...
AI summary The text details John D. Wilson's involvement in regulatory proceedings across Nova Scotia, California, and Georgia, focusing on energy projects, load forecasting, and utility programs. Key topics include dam safety remediation, EV charging initiatives, rate cases, and avoided cost reviews, with emphasis on cost reasonableness, program evaluation, and regulatory compliance.
John D. Wilson Grid Strategies, LLC Page 9 Critical Peak Pricing programs and Time of Use periods. Modifications to load management programs. Nova Scotia UARB Matter No. M09898, direct testimony on Nova Scotia Power’s Annually Adjusted R...
AI summary The text outlines testimony related to energy pricing programs, regulatory matters, and evaluations. It covers topics like Critical Peak Pricing, Time-Varying Pricing, and load management programs, with references to Nova Scotia UARB matters and other jurisdictional dockets involving rate design, capacity savings, and program evaluation.
r Advocate. Reasonableness of biomass fuel costs. Shortfall in expected customer benefits from Maritime Link transmission project. Regional joint dispatch. Accounting issues related to coal supplies and wind farm tax credits. Impact of dem...
AI summary The text discusses biomass fuel cost reasonableness, shortfall in benefits from the Maritime Link project, regional dispatch accounting issues, and demand response impacts on fuel costs. It references Nova Scotia UARB Matters M11009 and M11017, along with Kentucky PSC Case 2022-00402, addressing fossil fuel unit retirements and regulatory processes for capital expenditures.
r Energy Society, and Mountain Association. Demonstration that retirement of units meets statutory standard to overcome rebuttable presumption against retirement. Consideration
AI summary The text references the need to demonstrate that retiring units meets statutory standards to overcome a rebuttable presumption against retirement, involving the r Energy Society and Mountain Association. The discussion centers on regulatory compliance and approval processes related to unit retirement.
N-8Evidence of Synapse (BCC)
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Evidence Regarding Nova Scotia Power’s 2024 Load Forecast Evidence RE: M11689 Prepared for the Nova Scotia Utility and Review Board July 11, 2024 AUTHORS Ben Havumaki Kenji Takahashi Aidan Glaser Schoff 485 Massachusetts Avenue, Suite 3 Ca...
AI summary This document provides evidence on Nova Scotia Power’s 2024 load forecast, including forecast comparisons, sector and DSM program overviews, and references to Board directives from prior proceedings. It outlines the context for the forecast review and incorporates recommendations from previous evaluations.
24.7 51% 2033 71.3 43.4 7.7 31.7 28.2 39.6 22.9 51% 2034 69.1 44.0 7.8 30.7 28.6 38.4 23.2 51% Source: Synapse from Figure 35 from 2024 Load Forecast Recommendations and Considerations We ask that NSPI explore the benefits of increasing DS...
AI summary The document references a 2024 load forecast and recommends NSPI increase DSM levels. It also outlines Board directives from Matter 11108, including implementing IRP, AMI, and reviewing carbon emission assumptions.
ion that NSPI would continue to explore all realistic scenarios relating to hydrogen production and incorporate these into the load forecast modeling. 4 NSUARB Decision in Matter 11108, page 6. Synapse Energy Economics, Inc. Evidence Regar...
AI summary NSPI is directed to explore hydrogen production scenarios for load forecasting and address significant variance between 2023 forecasts and actual 2022 Net System Requirement. The NSUARB Decision in Matter 11108 emphasized examining factors like cooling demand, heat pump adoption, and residential electricity drivers. NSPI's responsiveness to these directives is noted with some exceptions.
d Forecast 8 2. ENERGY FORECAST In this section, we begin with a review of NSPI’s modeling methodology, and then consider in turn the modeling approaches and results for each of the sectors. 2.1. Major Inputs and Regression Models In addit...
AI summary NSPI's energy forecast relies on economic projections from the Conference Board of Canada (CBoC), but the Board directed NSPI to evaluate alternative inputs. NSPI's 2024 load forecast compares CBoC data with major Canadian banks' forecasts, highlighting uncertainties in long-term projections. Sensitivity analyses are recommended to address these uncertainties.
N-9Rebuttal Evidence - NSPI
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Page 4 of 25 2024 Load Forecast Report Rebuttal Evidence Non-Confidential
AI summary The document titled '2024 Load Forecast Report Rebuttal Evidence' is part of a regulatory proceeding involving evidence submitted in response to a load forecast report. It is marked as non-confidential and relates to the Nova Scotia Power System Operator's (NSPSO) processes.
SM profile was included in the scenarios that 19 demonstrated the lowest cost to customers. 6 Otherwise, development of Demand Side 5F 20 Management (DSM) investment and associated programs are no longer the responsibility of NS 21 Power....
AI summary Bill 228 amendments to the Nova Scotia Public Utilities Act removed the joint DSM application requirement between NS Power and EfficiencyOne (E1), shifting DSM responsibility to E1 with NS Power's advisory role through the DSMAG. E1 is developing DSM programs with stakeholders, pending NSUARB approval.
ived and 26 lessons learned from the Smart Grid Nova Scotia pilot project (as described in the 27 report issued in M11621) as input to the load forecast models. 41 40F 28 29 NS Power Response: 30 31 As outlined in M11621, the SGNS project...
AI summary The text references the Smart Grid Nova Scotia (SGNS) pilot project, as described in M11621, and its use as input for load forecast models. It also cites an NSUARB decision (M11783) and evidence from the Small Business Advocate (M11689) related to load forecasting.
Page 24 of 25 2024 Load Forecast Report Rebuttal Evidence Non-Confidential 1 3.0 CONCLUSION 2 3 Submission of the Load Forecast Report is an annual requirement under the provisions of the Nova 4 Scotia Wholesale and Renewable to Retail Mar...
AI summary NS Power submits its 2024 Load Forecast Report as part of an annual requirement under Nova Scotia Wholesale and Renewable to Retail Market Rules. The report has been refined over the years with input from Synapse and other parties. NS Power acknowledges feedback and will incorporate adjustments in future reports, subject to the NSUARB's determination.